BMC Public Health
(Accessed 3 November 2012)
http://www.biomedcentral.com/bmcpublichealth/content

Research article  
Human papilloma virus vaccination programs reduce health inequity in most scenarios: a simulation Study
Natasha S Crowcroft, Jemila S Hamid, Shelley L Deeks, John Frank BMC Public Health 2012, 12:935 (31 October 2012)
Open Access

Abstract (provisional)
Background
The global and within-country epidemiology of cervical cancer exemplifies health inequity. Public health programs may reduce absolute risk but increase inequity; inequity may be further compounded by screening programs. In this context, we aimed to explore what the impact of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine might have on health equity allowing for uncertainty surrounding the long-term effect of HPV vaccination programs.

Methods
A simple static multi-way sensitivity analysis was carried out to compare the relative risk, comparing after to before implementation of a vaccination program, of infections which would cause invasive cervical cancer if neither prevented nor detected, using plausible ranges of vaccine effectiveness, vaccination coverage, screening sensitivity, screening uptake and changes in uptake.

Results
We considered a total number of 3,793,902 scenarios. In 63.9% of scenarios considered, vaccination would lead to a better outcome for a population or subgroup with that combination of parameters. Regardless of vaccine effectiveness and coverage, most simulations led to lower rates of disease.

Conclusions
If vaccination coverage and screening uptake are high, then communities are always better off with a vaccination program. The findings highlight the importance of achieving and maintaining high immunization coverage and screening uptake in high risk groups in the interest of health equity.

The complete article is available as a provisional PDF. The fully formatted PDF and HTML versions are in production.