The Lancet Infectious Diseases
Apr 2015 Volume 15 Number 4 p361-486
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/issue/current
Editorial
Comprehensive approach to better malaria control
The Lancet Infectious Diseases
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(15)70113-1
Malaria is a complex and deadly disease but is also treatable and preventable. In 2000, an estimated 350 million to 500 million malaria cases led to the death of 1 million people, mostly African children. Since then, the establishment of the Millennium Development Goals for reducing global malaria incidence and mortality, have driven greater awareness and progress towards malaria control, and more than 4 million lives have been saved.
With the aim of accelerating progress toward malaria elimination, the Roll Back Malaria (RBM) partnership has coordinated the development of the Global Malaria Action Plan 2 (GMAP2), Towards a Malaria-Free World: A Global Case for Investment and Action 2016–2030—the second generation of an RBM consensus document that provides a practical, multisectoral, action-oriented guide toward better control of malaria transmission. The draft of the English version of the document was under review until March 18, allowing interested partners and individuals to contribute. Representatives from more than 90 countries participated in the development of the consensus document. The approach is extremely collaborative and involves academia, the private sector, research bodies, and governments. The consensus document will be accompanied by a second document, the Global Technical Strategy (GTS) for Malaria 2016–2030, which will be presented to the World Health Assembly in May, 2015.
The five chapters of GMAP2 provide a comprehensive overview of how resources should be mobilised. Its strategy sets out how to reduce malaria case incidence globally by 90% in 2030 compared with 2015, and how to eliminate malaria from at least 35 countries by 2030 in which malaria was transmitted in 2015. Crucial to reaching global malaria targets is adequate funding, and GMAP2 estimates that US$8 billion of investment will be needed annually between 2026 and 2030 to reach its goals, as well as an additional annual $673 million to fund malaria research and development. If achieved, this will lead to 12 million lives saved and 2•9 billion cases averted. The report highlights that if the 2030 targets are not met, the costs will be catastrophic. If the coverage of malaria interventions were to revert to the 2007 level, there would be an additional 2 billion malaria cases and 4•9 million deaths, leading to $5•8 billion in direct costs to health systems and households. Returns on investment in malaria control, according to the report, will be higher than expected: $4•6 trillion in economic benefits in 2030.
Small investments can bring major returns. The report highlights the case of Neema Gunda, a widow and head of a household in rural Tanzania—thanks to the bednets and instruction on their correct use she and her family get sick less often. Although small investments can make enormous differences to individual lives, substantial investments will have worldwide benefits for billions of people. But to have the greatest effect worldwide, investments will need to be channelled into locally tailored interventions sensitive to the needs of specific nations, regions, and villages.
The report also focuses on how environmental, social, cultural, and biological factors are all interconnected elements in the control of the disease. Biological factors, such as the growing problem of resistance to antimalarial drugs and insecticides, represent one of the biggest threats to reaching the 2030 goal. Agriculture, education, housing, water and sanitation, and tourism are also all important, as well as the interfaces between land use, climate change, and environmental policy. Stakeholders in all these areas need to intensify their engagement.
Despite progress, as of today, about 3 billion people are at risk in 109 countries. Ongoing advances in the fight against malaria will contribute to the realisation of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), and progress towards the SDGs will support the continued reduction and elimination of malaria. Tackling malaria is essential if sustainable changes are to be made for people living in areas where it is endemic. For example, it creates healthier, more productive workforces which can help attract trade and commerce, it makes a substantial contribution to improvements in child health, and protects households from lost earnings and the costs of seeking care. The SDGs provide an unprecedented opportunity to widen the circle of engagement and intensify multisectoral action and cross-country collaboration to defeat malaria. The comprehensive approach of GMAP2 will help ensure this opportunity will be taken and will guide us, we hope, towards a brighter future of malaria control.
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Comment
Applied public health research on the frontline
Arto A Palmu, Helena Käyhty
Published Online: 17 February 2015
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(15)70052-6
Summary
Prevention of pneumococcal disease in resource-poor countries, including many Asian countries, is desperately needed. The implementation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) has been slow due to scarce funding, but also because the burden of pneumococcal disease is poorly known. However, with the financial assistance of the GAVI Alliance, the introduction of PCVs has been accelerated.1
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Comment
Rotavirus vaccines roll-out in resource-deprived regions
Miguel L O’Ryan, Ralf Clemens
Published Online: 28 January 2015
Open Access
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(14)71089-8
Rotaviruses cause 30–50% of severe diarrhoea cases in children younger than 5 years, leading to about 450 000 deaths every year.1 Infections during the first months of life are protective against symptomatic reinfections later on, setting the stage for vaccine development.2, 3 The existence of four major genotypes—G1[P8], G2[P4], G3[P8], and G4[P8]—created a great challenge because in-vitro studies suggested that antibodies to a specific type neutralised only that type, raising the question of whether it would be necessary for a vaccine to include all common genotypes.
During the 1990s the first licensed vaccine, Rotashield (Wyeth Laboratories, Collegeville, PA, USA), which contained an attenuated simian and three simian–human reassortant strains of the virus, showed that 70–90% of cases of severe rotavirus disease could potentially be prevented in lower-middle-income and high-income countries with vaccination.4 However, intestinal intussusception was induced in about one in 11 000 children who received the vaccine, leading to its withdrawal and posing a large challenge for new candidate vaccines because future trials needed to include 60 000 children to reasonably assure safety.5, 6 Post-licensure studies of the second-generation vaccines Rotarix (GlaxoSmithKline, Brentford, UK), which contains a single human attenuated strain, and RotaTeq (Merck, Kenilworth, NJ, USA) based on five human-bovine reassortant strains, suggest an acceptable class effect risk for intestinal intussusception of somewhere between one in 20 000 and one in 100 000 individuals.7 Importantly, both vaccines showed high efficacy (more than 80%) against severe rotavirus disease in prelicensure studies5, 6 and against several predominating genotypes. As trials were progressively done in various regions worldwide, it became clear that protective efficacy for both vaccines was lower in resource-deprived countries than in high-income countries8 and that efficacy might not be the same among serotypes and genotypes, especially against G2[P4].5, 9
First licensed in 2006, these vaccines have been progressively introduced worldwide and dozens of effectiveness trials, done mostly in high or middle-high income countries, have confirmed efficacy rates reported in prelicensure trials. A major unanswered question is how effective these vaccines will be in real-world scenarios in the poorest regions of the world (where diarrhoea mortality is at its highest) and in the presence of varied circulating types. Children might be infected in their first months of life in these regions (where a first infection is not as protective as in higher-income regions) such that children develop several severe episodes of rotavirus disease throughout their first years.3, 10 Vaccine effectiveness could be substantially lower in these regions, and, thus, meticulous prospective studies are essential for policy decisions and for the potential design and assessment of new vaccine strategies.
In The Lancet Infectious Diseases, Naor Bar-Zeev and colleagues11 report results of the second effectiveness study to be done in Africa (Blantyre, Malawi). In the first study, Michelle Groome and colleagues12 showed 57% (95% CI 40–68) effectiveness against rotavirus diarrhoea that required a minimum of overnight hospital admission in children in South Africa younger than 2 years who were vaccinated at 6 and 14 weeks of life. Bar-Zeev and colleagues11 report 64% (24–83) effectiveness for reduction of emergency room visits (compared with rotavirus test-negative controls) for rotavirus in children younger than 5 years (94% of samples tested from children younger than 2 years) using an accelerated 6 and 10 week of age schedule with the monovalent human rotavirus vaccine. Early effect was documented with roughly 10% reductions every year in rotavirus detection rates in infants during their first and second years of age, and an overall rate reduction of near 15% after 2 years for all children younger than 5 years. Genotype G2[P4] was the most commonly detected (25% of samples tested), but the vaccine had a lower non-significant effectiveness point estimate of 53% (95% CI −28 to 83) for G2[P4] than it did for G1[P8] (82%, 42–95), strongly suggesting lower effectiveness against this genotype.
That data for vaccine effectiveness in Malawi are similar to, if not better than, those for other efficacy trials is good news and findings can probably be extrapolated to regions with similar socioeconomic conditions. Differential serotype and genotype effectiveness will have to be continuously monitored and the search for even better vaccines and strategies must continue. Although, the natural history of rotavirus infection and disease in low-resource regions10 suggests that oral vaccines that mimic protection conferred by natural infections might have reached their maximum effectiveness, this figure is still substantial and vaccines could potentially prevent nearly 300 000 deaths of infants and children every year.
Articles
Comparison of two-dose priming plus 9-month booster with a standard three-dose priming schedule for a ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Nepalese infants: a randomised, controlled, open-label, non-inferiority trial
Mainga Hamaluba, Rama Kandasamy, Shyam R Upreti, Giri R Subedi, Shrijana Shrestha, Shiva Bhattarai, Meeru Gurung, Rahul Pradhan, Merryn Voysey, Santosh Gurung, Shachi Pradhan, Anushil K Thapa, Rakesh Maharjan, Usha Kiran, Simon A Kerridge, Jason Hinds, Fiona van der Klis, Matthew D Snape, David R Murdoch, Sarah Kelly, Dominic F Kelly, Neelam Adhikari, Stephen Thorson, Andrew J Pollard
Effectiveness of a monovalent rotavirus vaccine in infants in Malawi after programmatic roll-out: an observational and case-control study
Naor Bar-Zeev, Lester Kapanda, Jacqueline E Tate, Khuzwayo C Jere, Miren Iturriza-Gomara, Osamu Nakagomi, Charles Mwansambo, Anthony Costello, Umesh D Parashar, Robert S Heyderman, Neil French, Nigel A Cunliffe, for the VacSurv Consortium
Open Access