Reporting timeliness gap for avian flu and H1N1 outbreaks in global health surveillance systems – country transparency

Globalization and Health
[Accessed 30 March 2013]
http://www.globalizationandhealth.com/

Research
Is the reporting timeliness gap for avian flu and H1N1 outbreaks in global health surveillance systems associated with country transparency?
Tsai FJ, Tseng E, Chan CC, Tamashiro H, Motamed S and Rougemont AC Globalization and Health 2013, 9:14 (25 March 2013)

Abstract (provisional)
Background
This study aims to evaluate the length of time elapsed between reports of the same incidents related to avian flu and H1N1 outbreaks published by the WHO and ProMED-mail, the two major global health surveillance systems, before and after the amendment of the International Health Regulations in 2005 (IHR 2005) and to explore the association between country transparency and this timeliness gap.

Methods
We recorded the initial release dates of each report related to avian flu or H1N1 listed on the WHO Disease Outbreak News site and the matching outbreak report from ProMED-mail, a non-governmental program for monitoring emerging diseases, from 2003 to the end of June 2009. The timeliness gap was calculated as the difference in days between the report release dates of the matching outbreaks in the WHO and ProMED-mail systems. Civil liberties scores were collected as indicators of the transparency of each country. The Human Development Index and data indicating the density of physicians and nurses were collected to reflect countries’ development and health workforce statuses. Then, logistic regression was performed to determine the correlation between the timeliness gap and civil liberties, human development, and health workforce status, controlling for year.

Results
The reporting timeliness gap for avian flu and H1N1 outbreaks significantly decreased after 2003. On average, reports were posted 4.09 (SD = 7.99) days earlier by ProMED-mail than by the WHO. Countries with partly free (OR = 5.77) and free civil liberties scores (OR = 10.57) had significantly higher likelihoods of longer timeliness gaps than non-free countries. Similarly, countries with very high human development status had significantly higher likelihoods of longer timeliness gaps than countries with middle or low human development status (OR = 5.30). However, no association between the timeliness gap and health workforce density was found.

Conclusion
The study found that the adoption of IHR 2005, which contributed to countries’ awareness of the importance of timely reporting, had a significant impact in improving the reporting timeliness gap. In addition, the greater the civil liberties in a country (e.g., importance of freedom of the media), the longer the timeliness gap.

The complete article is available as a provisional PDF. The fully formatted PDF and HTML versions are in production.

Crossing the Omic Chasm: A Time for Omic Ancillary Systems

JAMA   
March 27, 2013, Vol 309, No. 12
http://jama.ama-assn.org/current.dtl

ONLINE FIRST
Crossing the Omic Chasm: A Time for Omic Ancillary Systems
Justin Starren, MD, PhD; Marc S. Williams, MD; Erwin P. Bottinger, MD
http://jama.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleid=1666972

Abstract
Despite the information gains from genome-wide association studies and next-generation sequencing (NGS), there remains a chasm between this scientific knowledge and daily clinical practice. Leveraging recent advances in genomics to improve patient care will require electronic health record (EHR) systems that incorporate genomic clinical decision support (CDS). The eMerge (Electronic Medical Records and Genomics)1– 2 consortium is bridging this chasm by developing interoperable systems that can integrate large-scale genomic data with clinical workflows. According to a recent Institute of Medicine report,3 the current document-centric approach to omic (eg, genomic, epigenomic, proteomic, metabolomic) data will not scale, making storage of raw omic data in current-generation EHRs not feasible. Although commercial EHRs may eventually evolve to handle omic data efficiently, dedicated omic ancillary systems will be essential in the interim.

Increasing Exposure to Antibody-Stimulating Proteins and Polysaccharides in Vaccines Is Not Associated with Risk of Autism

Journal of Pediatrics
April 2013, Vol. 162, No. 4
http://www.jpeds.com/

Increasing Exposure to Antibody-Stimulating Proteins and Polysaccharides in Vaccines Is Not Associated with Risk of Autism
Frank DeStefano, MD, MPH, Cristofer S. Price, ScM, and Eric S. Weintraub, MPH
http://www.jpeds.com/webfiles/images/journals/ympd/JPEDSDeStefano.pdf

Abstract
Objective
To evaluate the association between autism and the level of immunologic stimulation received from vaccines administered during the first 2 years of life.

Study design
Weanalyzeddatafromacase-controlstudyconductedin3managed careorganizations(MCOs)of 256 children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and 752 control children matched on birth year, sex, and MCO. In addition to the broader category of ASD, we also evaluated autistic disorder and ASD with regression. ASD diagnoses were validated through standardized in-person evaluations. Exposure to total antibody-stimulating proteins and polysaccharides from vaccines was determined by summing the antigen content of each vaccine received, as obtained from immunization registries and medical records. Potential confounding factors were ascertained from parent interviews and medical charts. Conditional logistic regression was used to assess associations between ASD outcomes and exposure to antigens in selected time periods.

Results
The aOR (95% CI) of ASD associated with each 25-unit increase in total antigen exposure was 0.999 (0.994-1.003) for cumulative exposure to age 3 months, 0.999 (0.997-1.001) for cumulative exposure to age 7 months, and 0.999 (0.998-1.001) for cumulative exposure to age 2 years. Similarly, no increased risk was found for autistic disorder or ASD with regression.

Conclusion
In this study of MCO members, increasing exposure to antibody-stimulating proteins and polysaccharides in vaccines during the first 2 years of life was not related to the risk of developing an ASD.

Comment: A healthy perspective: the post-2015 development agenda

The Lancet  
Mar 30, 2013   Volume 38  Number 9872   p1071 – 1156
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/issue/current

Comment
A healthy perspective: the post-2015 development agenda
Seth Berkley a, Margaret Chan b, Mark Dybul c, Keith Hansen d, Anthony Lake e, Babatunde Osotimehin f, Michel Sidibé g

A proliferation of complex challenges to development, such as political conflict, economic austerity, and environmental degradation, all demand attention, but should not deflect from recognising that good health is central to advancing global prosperity. Development is about improving people’s lives. A population cannot progress if it is burdened with ill-health. Good health is the foundation on which communities and nations can and do flourish. A healthy, educated population is one of the major engines of development—and one of its most universally valued outcomes. Whatever framework for development is agreed upon for the post-2015 era, people must be at the centre. Ultimately, we must be able to measure our success through indicators that help us understand the difference we have made in people’s lives.

Looking back to 2000, when 189 countries adopted the Millennium Declaration, which set the principles and commitments for the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), it was not known if such a framework would work. Although the MDG framework is not perfect, its contribution to the results in global health is tangible. Fewer children are dying: the number of children younger than 5 years who die each year has been reduced by more than 40% since 1990.1    Fewer children are underweight: the percentage of underweight children under the age of 5 years in developing countries is estimated to have dropped from 25% in 1990 to 17% in 2011.2 Fewer people are contracting HIV: worldwide the number of people acquiring HIV infection in 2011 was 20% lower than in 2001, and an unprecedented 8 million people in low-income and middle-income countries are on life-saving antiretroviral treatment.3 And fewer women die in childbirth each year: maternal mortality has been reduced by almost half from 1990 to 2010.4

A healthy population is a prerequisite for development. 1 extra year’s increase in average life expectancy can increase gross domestic product by 4%.5 Some of the best buys in improving global welfare are through investments in health, such as expanding access to immunisation. Healthy individuals are more productive, earn more, save more, invest more, and work longer. Unhealthy people carry a high cost for themselves and for their countries. For example, malaria, which greatly contributes to the disease burden in many African countries, is estimated by the World Bank to cost Africa about $US12 billion a year.6 This cost results from, among other things, absenteeism, reduced efficiency, families paying high health costs, and reduced interest from foreign investors. Yet malaria can be prevented and cured by fairly simple means. The coverage of insecticide-treated bednets to protect families from malaria has increased from 3% in 2000 to 53% in 2012 in Africa, while 50 countries are on track to reduce malaria incidence by 75% by 2015 in line with the MDGs.7

A child who is borderline nourished will tip into malnutrition if he or she contracts an infectious disease such as measles. Children who are already malnourished are more susceptible to infections. Protecting children from diarrhoea—eg, through exclusive breastfeeding for the first 6 months of life, handwashing with soap, better water and sanitation, and vaccination—helps them better absorb the nutrients in the food they receive.

Development also has a direct bearing on health. About 25% of the global disease burden is due to modifiable environmental factors.8 Outdoor and indoor air pollution, by-products of unsustainable development, lead to respiratory infections, heart disease, and lung cancer. Climate change and environmental degradation are increasing the risk of extreme weather events, compromising food and water security, and exacerbating susceptibility to communicable and non-communicable diseases. The greatest burden falls on the poorest population, especially women and children. Over 220 million women would like to avoid pregnancy but are not using contraceptives and lack access to family planning services.9 New challenges arise as we struggle to reach pockets of poverty in middle-income countries where about three quarters of the world’s poorest people now live.

The consultative meeting of the UN High-Level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda in Bali, Indonesia, on March 25—27, 2013, will produce recommendations for the post-2015 development agenda, which will be discussed at the UN General Assembly in September, 2013. Sustainable development is fundamentally a question of people’s opportunity to influence their future, claim their rights, and voice their concerns. This is all the easier if a population is in good health. The post-2015 development agenda must recognise this and give due prominence to advancing global health. People are at the centre of development, but better still, let’s make that healthy people.

SB is Chief Executive Officer of the GAVI Alliance. MC is Director-General of WHO. MD is Executive Director of the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria. KH is Acting Vice President for the Human Development Network at the World Bank. AL is Executive Director of UNICEF. BO is Executive Director of UNFPA. MS is Executive Director of UNAIDS. We declare that we have no conflicts of interest.

References

1 UNICEF, WHO, World Bank, UN. Levels and trends in child mortality: report 2012. New York: UNICEF, 2012.

2 WHO. Millennium Development Goals fact sheet no 290. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs290/en/index.html. (accessed March 22, 2013).

3 UNAIDS. Global report: UNAIDS report on the global AIDS epidemic 2012. Geneva: UNAIDS, 2012.

4 WHO. Maternal mortality fact sheet no 348. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs348/en/index.html. (accessed March 22, 2013).

5 Bloom DE, Canning D, Sevilla J. The effect of health on economic growth: a production function approach. World Dev 2004; 32: 1-13. PubMed

6 The World Bank. Malaria in Africa. Sept, 2012. http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTHEALTHNUTRITIONANDPOPULATION/EXTMALARIA/0,,contentMDK:20912730∼menuPK:377606∼pagePK:148956∼piPK:216618∼theSitePK:377598,00.html or tinyurl http://tinyurl.com/l7xyum (accessed March 22, 2013).

7 WHO. World malaria report 2012. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2012.

8 WHOPrüss-Üstün A, Corvalán C. Preventing disease through healthy environments: towards an estimate of the environmental burden of disease. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2006.

9 Singh S, Darroch JE. Adding it up: costs and benefits of contraceptive services—estimates for 2012. New York: Guttmacher Institute/United Nations Population Fund, 2012.

Editorial: Two birds with one stone (infectious disease, non-communicable disease interaction)

The Lancet Infectious Diseases
Apr 2013   Volume 13  Number 4   p277 – 376
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/issue/current

Editorial
Two birds with one stone
The Lancet Infectious Diseases

Preview
As the global burden of disease shifts from infectious diseases, non-communicable diseases are rising up the health agenda with, at first glance, demands for attention and funding that conflict with those of communicable diseases. However, rather then a focus on disease-specific responses, some researchers have suggested a more creative approach. At the International Society for Neglected Tropical Diseases meeting on coinfections held in London, UK, on February 12, Ib Bygbjerg presented his ideas on how certain diseases could be treated together, since the consequences of communicable and non-communicable diseases seem tightly intertwined in low-income and middle-income countries.

Comment and Trial Data Analysis: Efficacy of RTS,S malaria vaccines

The Lancet Infectious Diseases
Apr 2013   Volume 13  Number 4   p277 – 376
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/issue/current

Comment
Assessment of the RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine
VS Moorthy, RD Newman, P Duclos, JM Okwo-Bele, PG Smith

Preview
No licensed vaccines are available for malaria or any other human parasitic disease. The most advanced malaria vaccine candidate is RTS,S/AS01, which is directed against Plasmodium falciparum malaria. This vaccine is being assessed in a phase 3 trial at 11 sites in seven countries in sub-Saharan Africa.1 The trial has been designed to provide information to support regulatory submissions and to assess the public health role of the vaccine in infants and young children in Africa.

Articles
Efficacy of RTS,S malaria vaccines: individual-participant pooled analysis of phase 2 data
Philip Bejon, Michael T White, Ally Olotu, Kalifa Bojang, John PA Lusingu, Nahya Salim, Nekoye N Otsyula, Selidji T Agnandji, Kwaku Poku Asante, Seth Owusu-Agyei, Salim Abdulla, Azra C Ghani
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099%2813%2970005-7/abstract

Summary
Background
The efficacy of RTS,S/AS01 as a vaccine for malaria is being tested in a phase 3 clinical trial. Early results show significant, albeit partial, protection against clinical malaria and severe malaria. To ascertain variations in vaccine efficacy according to covariates such as transmission intensity, choice of adjuvant, age at vaccination, and bednet use, we did an individual-participant pooled analysis of phase 2 clinical data.

Methods
We analysed data from 11 different sites in Africa, including 4453 participants. We measured heterogeneity in vaccine efficacy by estimating the interactions between covariates and vaccination in pooled multivariable Cox regression and Poisson regression analyses. Endpoints for measurement of vaccine efficacy were infection, clinical malaria, severe malaria, and death. We defined transmission intensity levels according to the estimated local parasite prevalence in children aged 2—10 years (PrP2—10), ranging from 5% to 80%. Choice of adjuvant was either AS01 or AS02.

Findings
Vaccine efficacy against all episodes of clinical malaria varied by transmission intensity (p=0.01). At low transmission (PrP2-10 10%) vaccine efficacy was 60% (95% CI 54 to 67), at moderate transmission (PrP2-10 20%) it was 41% (21 to 57), and at high transmission (PrP2-10 70%) the efficacy was 4% (-10 to 22). Vaccine efficacy also varied by adjuvant choice (p<0.001)-eg, at low transmission (PrP2-10 10%), efficacy varied from 60% (95% CI 54 to 67) for AS01 to 47% (14 to 75) for AS02. Variations in efficacy by age at vaccination were of borderline significance (p=0·038), and bednet use and sex were not significant covariates. Vaccine efficacy (pooled across adjuvant choice and transmission intensity) varied significantly (p<0.0001) according to time since vaccination, from 36% efficacy (95% CI 24 to 45) at time of vaccination to 0% (-38 to 38) after 3 years.

Interpretation
Vaccine efficacy against clinical disease was of limited duration and was not detectable 3 years after vaccination. Furthermore, efficacy fell with increasing transmission intensity. Outcomes after vaccination cannot be gauged accurately on the basis of one pooled efficacy figure. However, predictions of public-health outcomes of vaccination will need to take account of variations in efficacy by transmission intensity and by time since vaccination.

Funding
Medical Research Council (UK); Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Vaccine Modelling Initiative; Wellcome Trust

Editorials: Methods Development for Health Technology Assessment: Is It Time to Set Priorities?

Medical Decision Making (MDM)
April 2013; 33 (3)
http://mdm.sagepub.com/content/current

Special Issue: Health Technology Assessment to Inform Policy
Editorials
Methods Development for Health Technology Assessment: Is It Time to Set Priorities?
Mark Sculpher
Med Decis Making April 2013 33: 313-315, doi:10.1177/0272989X13480564
http://mdm.sagepub.com/content/33/3/313.extract

Extract
Most health care systems internationally have to face the problem of how to allocate limited resources across interventions and programs. This is true for any collectively funded system, whether financed from general taxation, private or social insurance, or a mix of sources. In part this relates to decisions about which medical technologies to fund and, in particular, whether to devote the system’s resources to the numerous new pharmaceuticals, devices, and procedures that become available each year. Health technology assessment (HTA) offers a broad set of tools to support these types of decisions including systematic review, analysis of clinical studies and routine administrative data, health outcome measurement and valuation, and economic evaluation. Jurisdictions differ in the way they use these tools. Some systems, such as those in Germany and the public sector systems in the US, use largely clinical evidence from trials, perhaps augmented with information on the impact of technology adoption on the system’s budget. In contrast, an increasing number of systems, including those in the UK, Canada, and Australia, inform decisions by synthesizing clinical evidence more formally with data on costs and patients’ health outcomes using cost-effectiveness analysis.

Despite this variety of ways in which HTA is used to support decision making, there are common issues that the HTA research community has sought to inform. The most appropriate ways in which HTA is used to inform decisions is one such issue. For example, in this issue of Medical Decision Making, Stevens and Longson describe the process by which the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) uses HTA to support decision making on new pharmaceuticals and other technologies in England and Wales and the challenges faced in using HTA for this purpose.1 Taking an international perspective, Neumann and others2 have reported on the extent to …

Perspective: Safeguarding Children — Pediatric Research on Medical Countermeasures

New England Journal of Medicine
March 28, 2013  Vol. 368 No. 13
http://www.nejm.org/toc/nejm/medical-journal

Perspective
Safeguarding Children — Pediatric Research on Medical Countermeasures
Amy Gutmann, Ph.D.
N Engl J Med 2013; 368:1171-1173March 28, 2013DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1302093

In 2011, a bioterrorism-preparedness exercise conducted by the U.S. government examined the likely result of a large-scale release of weaponized anthrax spores in a city such as San Francisco. Code-named Dark Zephyr, the simulation was sobering: nearly 8 million people would be affected, nearly a quarter of them children.1 If such an event occurred, current response plans call for distribution of appropriate antibiotics and vaccination of affected civilian populations using anthrax vaccine adsorbed (AVA). Although the vaccine has been produced for more than four decades and has been safely administered to more than a million adults in the military, there is no history of use in children and no definitive understanding of how the vaccine would affect them.

Last year, Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius asked the Presidential Commission for the Study of Bioethical Issues, which I chair, to review the ethical considerations regarding conducting research on AVA in children. More generally, the Bioethics Commission was asked to consider pediatric research on medical countermeasures encompassing any products and interventions regulated by the Food and Drug Administration and designed for use in response to chemical, biologic, radiologic, or nuclear attacks. The request followed a recommendation from the National Biodefense Science Board that the government study AVA’s safety and immunogenicity in children before an anthrax attack occurs, contingent on a thorough ethics review.

The Bioethics Commission concluded in a report released on March 19 that before pre-event pediatric AVA trials can be considered, further steps must be taken, including additional research in adults, to help ensure that the research risks to children — who do not stand to benefit directly from participation in the study — can be reduced to a level posing no more than minimal risk to their health or well-being. The Commission recognized both the government’s duty to protect individual children from undue risk during research and the obligation to protect all children during an emergency by being prepared.

Pediatric research is ethically distinct from research in adults. Whereas competent adults can consent to accept risks for the benefit of others, children are legally prohibited and ethically unable to do so. Pediatric research on medical countermeasures therefore presents additional ethical challenges both in the abstract (absent a terrorist event, or “pre-event,” when the likelihood of an attack is unknown and perhaps unknowable) and after an event, when individual lives are at stake.

The Bioethics Commission concluded that pre-event pediatric research on medical countermeasures is ethical, in general, only if it presents no more than minimal risk to study participants. Minimal risk is comparable to that which healthy children living in a safe environment routinely face in everyday life or during a routine medical examination.2

This conclusion, which seeks to limit research risk to individual child participants, emanates from consideration of three characteristics of such research that challenge traditional research ethics: the research involves the potential treatment or prevention of a highly disabling or lethal condition that no one has yet contracted; it aims to determine how best to treat a condition resulting from an event whose likelihood of occurring is unknown; and though the knowledge gained could be useful for future treatment, we hope never to have occasion to use it.

To be ethical, research involving children must generally pose no greater than minimal risk to participants unless the research presents the prospect of direct benefit. A minor increase over minimal risk — which is still very limited and poses no substantial risk to health or well-being — is permissible only when research is likely to yield generalizable knowledge about participants’ specific condition. It may also be permissible, with extensive national-level review, under exceptional circumstances outlined in Title 45 of the Code of Federal Regulations (45 CFR §46.407 [2012], referred to as Section 407).3

Pre-event studies of a medical countermeasure cannot directly benefit participants, who are not affected by the condition it is designed to treat. Furthermore, only when unusual circumstances prohibit completing such testing in consenting adults and developing a minimal-risk research design can pre-event research in children involving “a minor increase over minimal risk” proceed to national-level review. That risk level is defined by only a “narrow” expansion of minimal risk, which still “poses no significant threat to the child’s health or well-being.”2,3

Minimal-risk pre-event pediatric testing of medical countermeasures may be made possible through age-deescalation studies, which generally entail gradually lowering the age criterion for participants in a series of studies. To determine whether such testing is feasible, prior testing such as modeling, testing in animals, and testing in adults must first identify, delineate, and characterize research risks. Then, if an intervention is shown to pose minimal risk in 18-year-olds, it might be possible to infer that a study involving 16- and 17-year-olds would present only minimal risk. There might be key points along the developmental trajectory at which age is only one of several factors to consider, depending on the countermeasure being tested; for example, groups might have to be defined by stages of puberty as well as by age.

In response to the Secretary’s broader request, the Bioethics Commission developed a framework for Section 407 review. We first clarified the circumstances in which proposed research presents a “reasonable opportunity” to address a “serious problem.”3 One threshold condition, for example, is that the research must be of “vital importance” to addressing that problem.4 Second, we specified a rigorous set of conditions that would all need to be satisfied to justify a determination that the research adhered to “sound ethical principles.” These conditions fall into five categories: an ethical threshold of acceptable risk and adequate protection from harm, ethical study and trial design, post-trial requirements to ensure ethical treatment of children and their families, community engagement, and transparency and accountability. Finally, the Commission reiterated the importance of informed parental permission and meaningful and developmentally appropriate assent by children.5

The Commission recommends that reviewers use this framework when assessing protocols for pre-event pediatric research on a medical countermeasure involving a minor increase over minimal risk without direct benefit, to ensure thoroughness and ethical rigor. But it should be applied only in rare circumstances in which minimal-risk research cannot be designed.

Post-event research on medical countermeasures should also be limited to minimal risk whenever possible, but since it could directly benefit participants who are exposed to a pathogen during the event, different ethical and regulatory standards apply. Children exposed to a pathogen could enroll in research likely to yield information of vital importance to elucidating or ameliorating both their own condition and that condition generally in other children.

The Commission recommends that post-event research be planned in advance and be conducted when a relatively untested medical countermeasure is administered to children in an emergency, with health officials collecting data during the event so we may learn as much as possible about use of the countermeasure. Adequate processes must be in place for informed parental permission and meaningful assent by children; the research design must be scientifically sound; enrolled children must have access to the best available care; there must be adequate plans for compensating anyone injured by research; and provisions must be made to engage communities throughout the course of research.

Routine preexposure prophylaxis in military personnel has resulted in observational studies of AVA in young adults, but additional data from adult populations — from dose-sparing studies, for example — are needed before pediatric testing can be ethically considered. With additional safety data, the level of risk to young adults could be inferred with increased statistical confidence. Such an inference, in turn, would influence a possible minimal-risk design of a series of age-deescalating safety and immunogenicity studies.

Sound science must always respect our ethical obligations to protect children from unnecessary risks. Medical countermeasure research warrants an ongoing national conversation to ensure an unwavering commitment to safeguard all children both from unacceptable risks in research and through research promoting their health and well-being.

Research as a Part of Public Health Emergency Response

New England Journal of Medicine
March 28, 2013  Vol. 368 No. 13
http://www.nejm.org/toc/nejm/medical-journal

Sounding Board
Research as a Part of Public Health Emergency Response
Nicole Lurie, M.D., M.S.P.H., Teri Manolio, M.D., Ph.D., Amy P. Patterson, M.D., Francis Collins, M.D., Ph.D., and Thomas Frieden, M.D., M.P.H.
N Engl J Med 2013; 368:1251-1255March 28, 2013DOI: 10.1056/NEJMsb1209510
http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsb1209510

Extract
In the past decade, a succession of public health emergencies has challenged preparedness and response capacities of government agencies, hospitals and clinics, public health agencies, and academic researchers, in the United States and abroad. The epidemic of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and the anthrax mailings stand out as signal examples in the early years of the decade. In addition to natural disasters such as the 2010 earthquake in Haiti and the 2012 Superstorm Sandy, other recent events — including the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic, the Deepwater Horizon oil spill, and the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear reactor emergency in Japan — illustrate the diverse and complex forms that threats to public health can assume. Figure 1 displays some examples over the past decade or so and highlights the diversity and frequency of events that can be expected to occur in the foreseeable future.

Each of these emergencies has yielded important information and data that are essential to what is, by design and necessity, an ongoing effort to improve preparedness and response. But each has also underscored a persistent need to be better prepared to resolve important research questions in the context of a public health emergency. The knowledge that is generated through well-designed, effectively executed research in anticipation of, in the midst of, and after an emergency is critical to our future capacity to better achieve the overarching goals of preparedness and response: preventing injury, illness, disability, and death and supporting recovery. We review challenges to the conduct of research in recent public health emergencies to identify critical elements of an effective research response.

Perspective: Ensuring Public Health Neutrality

New England Journal of Medicine
March 21, 2013  Vol. 368 No. 13
http://www.nejm.org/toc/nejm/medical-journal

Perspective
Ensuring Public Health Neutrality
Les F. Roberts, Ph.D., M.P.H., and Michael J. VanRooyen, M.D., M.P.H.
N Engl J Med 2013; 368:1073-1075March 21, 2013DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1300197
http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp1300197

In June 1968, a clearly marked Swedish Red Cross plane flying relief supplies into the breakaway state of Biafra was shot down by Nigerian fighters.1 Before the war was over, many relief planes would be shot down and far more would crash because the Nigerian government’s shoot-to-kill order forced them to fly at night. The brazen targeting of Red Cross relief flights on civilian humanitarian missions was hard to imagine. In the minds of some people, however, these attacks were justified by another clear violation of humanitarian neutrality: on at least one occasion, a plane painted with the Red Cross insignia was actually carrying weapons.2,3    That rare instance of military action masquerading as humanitarian relief completely undermined the neutrality of everyone who operated by the accepted rules of humanitarian assistance, cost the lives of both aid workers and aid recipients, and provided a blanket of impunity for the future criminal actions of the Nigerian government…

Global Seasonality of Rotavirus Disease

The Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal
April 2013 – Volume 32 – Issue 4  pp: A15-A16,307-429,e128-e181
http://journals.lww.com/pidj/pages/currenttoc.aspx

Global Seasonality of Rotavirus Disease
Patel, Manish M.; Pitzer, Virginia E.; Alonso, Wladimir J.; Vera, David; Lopman, Ben; Tate, Jacqueline; Viboud, Cecile; Parashar, Umesh D.
Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal. 32(4):e134-e147, April 2013.
doi: 10.1097/INF.0b013e31827d3b68

Abstract:
Background: A substantial number of surveillance studies have documented rotavirus prevalence among children admitted for dehydrating diarrhea. We sought to establish global seasonal patterns of rotavirus disease before the introduction of widespread vaccination.

Methods: We reviewed studies of rotavirus detection in children with diarrhea published since 1995. We assessed potential relationships between seasonal prevalence and locality by plotting the average monthly proportion of diarrhea cases positive for rotavirus according to geography, country development and latitude. We used linear regression to identify variables that were potentially associated with the seasonal intensity of rotavirus.

Results: Among a total of 99 studies representing all 6 geographic regions of the world, patterns of year-round disease were more evident in low- and low-middle income countries compared with upper-middle and high-income countries where disease was more likely to be seasonal. The level of country development was a stronger predictor of strength of seasonality (P = 0.001) than geographic location or climate. However, the observation of distinctly different seasonal patterns of rotavirus disease in some countries with similar geographic location, climate and level of development indicate that a single unifying explanation for variation in seasonality of rotavirus disease is unlikely.

Conclusion: While no unifying explanation emerged for varying rotavirus seasonality globally, the country income level was somewhat more predictive of the likelihood of having seasonal disease than other factors. Future evaluation of the effect of rotavirus vaccination on seasonal patterns of disease in different settings may help understand factors that drive the global seasonality of rotavirus disease.

Cost-effectiveness of Augmenting Universal Hepatitis B Vaccination With Immunoglobin Treatment

Pediatrics
March 2013, VOLUME 131 / ISSUE 3
http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/current.shtml
[Reviewed earlier; No relevant content]

Early Release
Article
Cost-effectiveness of Augmenting Universal Hepatitis B Vaccination With Immunoglobin Treatment
Solomon Chih-Cheng Chen, MD, PhDa,b, Mehlika Toy, DrPH, PhDa,c, Jennifer M. Yeh, PhDd,
Jung-Der Wang, MD, ScDe, and Stephen Resch, MPH, PhDd
http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/early/2013/03/18/peds.2012-1262.abstract

Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To compare the cost-effectiveness of hepatitis B virus (HBV) control strategies combining universal vaccination with hepatitis B immunoglobulin (HBIG) treatment for neonates of carrier mothers.

METHODS: Drawing on Taiwan’s experience, we developed a decision-analytic model to estimate the clinical and economic outcomes for 4 strategies: (1) strategy V—universal vaccination; (2) strategy S—V plus screening for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and HBIG treatment for HBsAg-positive mothers’ neonates; (3) strategy E—V plus screening for hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg), HBIG for HBeAg-positive mothers’ neonates; (4) strategy S&E—V plus screening for HBsAg then HBeAg, HBIG for all HBeAg-positive, and some HBeAg-negative/HBsAg-positive mothers’ neonates.

RESULTS: Strategy S averted the most infections, followed by S&E, E, and V. In most cases, the more effective strategies were also more costly. The willingness-to-pay (WTP) above which strategy S was cost-effective rose as carrier rate declined and was <$4000 per infection averted for carrier rates >5%. The WTP below which strategy V was optimal also increased as carrier rate declined, from $1400 at 30% carrier rate to $3100 at 5% carrier rate. Strategies involving E were optimal for an intermediate range of WTP that narrowed as carrier rate declined.

CONCLUSIONS: HBIG treatment for neonates of HBsAg carrier mothers is likely to be a cost-effective addition to universal vaccination, particularly in settings with adequate health care infrastructure. Targeting HBIG to neonates of higher risk HBeAg-positive mothers may be preferred where WTP is moderate. However, in very resource-limited settings, universal vaccination alone is optimal.

Time Trade-Off and Willingness-to-Pay Amounts for Influenza Health-Related Quality of Life at Different Ages

Pharmacoeconomics
Volume 31, Issue 4, April 2013
http://link.springer.com/journal/40273/31/4/page/1

Using a Discrete Choice Experiment to Elicit Time Trade-Off and Willingness-to-Pay Amounts for Influenza Health-Related Quality of Life at Different Ages
Lisa A. Prosser, Katherine Payne, Donna Rusinak, Ping Shi, Mark Messonnier

Abstract
Background
Recent research suggests that values for health-related quality of life may vary with the age of the patient. Traditional health state valuation questions and discrete choice experiments are two approaches that could be used to value health.

Objective
To measure whether public values for health vary with the age of the affected individual.

Methods
A discrete choice experiment was administered via the Internet in December 2007 to measure preferences for different attributes of influenza-related health-related quality of life: age of hypothetical affected individual (range 1–85 years), length of episode (days of illness), severity of illness (workdays lost) and time trade-off or willingness-to-pay amounts. Each respondent answered identical choice questions for a hypothetical family member and for himself/herself. Data on sociodemographic characteristics and influenza illness experience were also collected. Respondents were US adults randomly sampled from an Internet survey panel (n = 1,012). The relative value of attributes was estimated using generalized estimating equations and controlling for sociodemographic characteristics and illness experience. Marginal time traded and marginal willingness to pay using discrete choice and traditional time trade-off or willingness-to-pay questions were compared.

Results
Respondents preferred shorter influenza episodes but did not significantly prefer fewer workdays lost if episode length was held constant. Respondents were more likely to choose to avert uncomplicated illness in children and less likely to choose to avert uncomplicated illness in working-age adults. Marginal time trade-off and willingness-to-pay amounts elicited using discrete choice questions were larger than those elicited using direct valuation questions.

Conclusions
Approaches that assume values for health-related quality of life do not vary with the age of a patient may bias economic analyses that use these values. If patient age could affect valuations, then age should be included in the valuation exercise. Additional research should evaluate the effect of patient age on values for other conditions.

Research Misconduct in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

PLoS Medicine
(Accessed 30 March 2013)
http://www.plosmedicine.org/

Essay
Research Misconduct in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
Joseph Ana, Tracey Koehlmoos, Richard Smith, Lijing L. Yan
http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pmed.1001315

Summary Points
– All human activity is associated with misconduct, and as scientific research is a global activity, research misconduct is a global problem.

– Studies conducted mostly in high-income countries suggest that 2%–14% of scientists may have fabricated or falsified data and that a third to three-quarters may be guilty of “questionable research practices.”

– The few data available from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) suggest that research misconduct is as common there as in high-income countries, and there have been high profile cases of misconduct from LMICs.

– A comprehensive response to misconduct should include programmes of prevention, investigation, punishment, and correction, and arguably no country has a comprehensive response, although the US, the Scandinavian Countries, and Germany have formal programmes.

– China has created an Office of Scientific Research Integrity Construction and begun a comprehensive response to research misconduct, but most LMICs have yet to mount a response.

Effective Chikungunya Virus-like Particle Vaccine Produced in Insect Cells

PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
March 2013
http://www.plosntds.org/article/browseIssue.action

Research Article
Effective Chikungunya Virus-like Particle Vaccine Produced in Insect Cells
Stefan W. Metz, Joy Gardner, Corinne Geertsema, Thuy T. Le, Lucas Goh, Just M. Vlak, Andreas Suhrbier, Gorben P. Pijlman

Abstract
The emerging arthritogenic, mosquito-borne chikungunya virus (CHIKV) causes severe disease in humans and represents a serious public health threat in countries where Aedes spp mosquitoes are present. This study describes for the first time the successful production of CHIKV virus-like particles (VLPs) in insect cells using recombinant baculoviruses. This well-established expression system is rapidly scalable to volumes required for epidemic responses and proved well suited for processing of CHIKV glycoproteins and production of enveloped VLPs. Herein we show that a single immunization with 1 µg of non-adjuvanted CHIKV VLPs induced high titer neutralizing antibody responses and provided complete protection against viraemia and joint inflammation upon challenge with the Réunion Island CHIKV strain in an adult wild-type mouse model of CHIKV disease. CHIKV VLPs produced in insect cells using recombinant baculoviruses thus represents as a new, safe, non-replicating and effective vaccine candidate against CHIKV infections.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Program to Eliminate Disparities in Pneumococcal Vaccination Rates in Elderly Minority Populations: An Exploratory Analysis

Value in Health                  
Vol 16 | No. 2 | March-April 2013 | Pages 229-452
http://www.valueinhealthjournal.com/current

Cost-Effectiveness of a Program to Eliminate Disparities in Pneumococcal Vaccination Rates in Elderly Minority Populations: An Exploratory Analysis
Constantinos I. Michaelidis, BA, Richard K. Zimmerman, MD, MPH, Mary Patricia Nowalk, PhD,  Kenneth J. Smith, MD, MS

Abstract 
Objective
Invasive pneumococcal disease is a major cause of preventable morbidity and mortality in the United States, particularly among the elderly (>65 years). There are large racial disparities in pneumococcal vaccination rates in this population. Here, we estimate the cost-effectiveness of a hypothetical national vaccination intervention program designed to eliminate racial disparities in pneumococcal vaccination in the elderly.

Methods
In an exploratory analysis, a Markov decision-analysis model was developed, taking a societal perspective and assuming a 1-year cycle length, 10-year vaccination program duration, and lifetime time horizon. In the base-case analysis, it was conservatively assumed that vaccination program promotion costs were $10 per targeted minority elder per year, regardless of prior vaccination status and resulted in the elderly African American and Hispanic pneumococcal vaccination rate matching the elderly Caucasian vaccination rate (65%) in year 10 of the program.

Results
The incremental cost-effectiveness of the vaccination program relative to no program was $45,161 per quality-adjusted life-year gained in the base-case analysis. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, the likelihood of the vaccination program being cost-effective at willingness-to-pay thresholds of $50,000 and $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained was 64% and 100%, respectively.

Conclusions
In a conservative analysis biased against the vaccination program, a national vaccination intervention program to ameliorate racial disparities in pneumococcal vaccination would be cost-effective.

Does language moderate the influence of information scanning and seeking on HPV knowledge and vaccine awareness and initiation among Hispanics?

Journal of Community Health
March 2013

Does language moderate the influence of information scanning and seeking on HPV knowledge and vaccine awareness and initiation among Hispanics?
Stevens CE, Caughy MO, Lee SC, Bishop WP, Tiro JA.
http://www.ishib.org/wp-content/themes/default/ED/journal/23-1/ethn-23-01-95ab.pdf

Abstract
OBJECTIVE:
To examine whether language moderates associations between three communication variables: media use, information scanning (attending to and remembering information) and seeking (actively looking for information), and three HPV outcomes: knowledge, vaccine awareness and vaccine initiation among Hispanics.

PARTICIPANTS:
Hispanic mothers of females aged 8-22 years (N=288) were surveyed.

METHODS:
Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions investigated associations between communication variables and HPV outcomes. To examine moderation by language, we compared main effects and interaction models using the likelihood ratio test.

RESULTS:
For English- and Spanish-speakers, Internet use was associated with more HPV knowledge and vaccine awareness, but not initiation. Scanning and seeking were associated with more knowledge, vaccine awareness, and initiation. Language moderated effects of scanning and seeking only on vaccine awareness. Spanish speakers who scanned for information were more likely to be aware of the vaccine than those who did not (80% vs 26%); Spanish speakers who sought information were also more likely to be aware (95% vs 55%). For English speakers, vaccine awareness did not differ between those who scanned and sought and those who did not.

CONCLUSIONS:
Effects of information scanning and seeking on HPV vaccine awareness were much greater for Spanish than for English speakers. Providers, therefore, should not assume that Spanish-speaking mothers are already aware of the vaccine. Our findings call attention to heterogeneity within Hispanics which could be particularly important when examining health communication and cancer prevention behaviors.

English Proficiency, Knowledge, and Receipt of HPV Vaccine in Vietnamese-American Women

Journal of Community Health
March 2013

English Proficiency, Knowledge, and Receipt of HPV Vaccine in Vietnamese-American Women
Jenny K. Yi, Karen O. Anderson, Yen-Chi Le, Soledad L. Escobar-Chaves, Cielito C. Reyes-Gibby
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10900-013-9680-2

Abstract
Cervical cancer is one of the most important disease burdens experienced by Vietnamese-American women. Human papillomavirus (HPV) is the etiological agent in almost all cases of cervical cancer. We surveyed Vietnamese-American women to determine receipt of HPV vaccine and assessed if limited English proficiency and knowledge related to HPV vaccine were associated with HPV vaccine uptake. Of the 113 Vietnamese-American women who participated in the study, 58 % (n = 68) was born in Vietnam. The mean years of residency in the United States was 12.75 years. Only 16 (14 %) reported receiving HPV vaccine and 11 (9 %) reported receiving all three shots. Thirteen women responded that they are not at all likely to receive HPV vaccine. Of the whole sample, 47 % (n = 53) reported proficiency in spoken and written English. English proficiency was significantly associated with receipt of HPV vaccine (OR = 4.4; confidence interval (95 % CI) = 1.2; 16.50; p = 0.03). Of the knowledge items, 70 % (n = 79) responded correctly that HPV increases the risk for cervical cancer. However, as many as 60 % responded incorrectly, that HPV infection can be cured with medication. The item, “People infected with HPV can be cured with medication,” was the most important variable associated with receipt of HPV vaccine. Specifically, those with correct response were 3.8 times more likely to report receiving the HPV vaccine (OR = 3.8; 95 % CI = 1.1; 13.5; p = 0.04). Important public health needs are the development and evaluation of educational programs on HPV and cervical cancer that are designed for Vietnamese-American women.

From Google Scholar+ [to 30 March 2013]

CURRENT OPINION Maternal immunization as a strategy to decrease susceptibility to infection in newborn infants
B Lindsey, B Kampmann, C Jones – Curr Opin Infect Dis, 2013
… double the number in the last peak year [24,26]. The young infants who died were
all too young to have benefited from protection provided by the routine infant immuniz-
ations, which start at 2 months of age. As a response to …

Assessment of the MF59-adjuvanted pandemic influenza A/H1N1 vaccine. Systematic review of literature.
J Ruiz-Aragón, TAM Grande, S Márquez-Peláez… – Anales de pediatria ( …, 2013
OBJECTIVE: To assess the efficacy and safety of MF59-adjuvanted pandemic influenza
A/H1N1 vaccine in children. METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was performed
after searching the MedLine and Embase electronic databases, and manual search in …

[HTML] Optimal Vaccine Allocation for the Early Mitigation of Pandemic Influenza
L Matrajt, ME Halloran, IM Longini Jr – PLOS Computational Biology, 2013
Abstract With new cases of avian influenza H5N1 (H5N1AV) arising frequently, the threat of
a new influenza pandemic remains a challenge for public health. Several vaccines have
been developed specifically targeting H5N1AV, but their production is limited and only a …

Epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal disease and vaccine provision in a tertiary referral center
C Rock, C Sadlier, J Fitzgerald, M Kelleher, C Dowling… – European Journal of Clinical …, 2013
Abstract Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) has an all-cause mortality of 5–35% in the
developed world. Pneumococcal vaccination is recommended for at-risk groups, including
those infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and those over 65 years of age. …

The Disease Next Door (NTDs)

Foreign Policy
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/
25 March 2013

The Disease Next Door—Peter Hotez
Extract 
They’re probably the most important diseases you’ve never heard of — causing everything from gruesome limb disfigurement and skin sores to bladder and liver cancers to neurological damage — and they’re practically ubiquitous among world’s poorest people. Typically, such infections last for years or even decades, causing chronic and permanent disabilities such as stunted growth and intellectual developments in children; blindness, heart disease, and disfigurement of adults; and pregnancy complications that can result in severe disease in both newborns and their mothers. In so doing, neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) have been shown to actually cause poverty and even destabilize communities, leading to conflict…

Opinion: Can We Save More Than Four Million Children’s Lives In the Next 1,000 Days?

The Huffington Post
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/
Accessed 30 March 2013

Can We Save More Than Four Million Children’s Lives In the Next 1,000 Days?
Ray Chambers, founder of the Amelior Foundation

“…On December 31, 2015, 1,000 days from April 6, we’ll reach the deadline for achievement of the Millennium Development Goals. These goals represent the most important effort to improve lives in history, endorsed by leaders from 193 countries and 23 international agencies, and they include three that are dedicated to global health, focused largely on children under five and pregnant mothers:
– Goal 4: Reduce Child Mortality — specifically, reducing by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate
– Goal 5: Improve Maternal Health — including reducing by three-quarters the maternal mortality ratio
– Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, Malaria, Tuberculosis and Other Diseases — including eliminating mother to child transmission of HIV and reducing deaths from malaria to near zero

To reach the goal of decreasing deaths of children who have not yet reached their fifth birthday to four million in 2015, we estimate that 4.4 million children’s deaths must be averted in the next 1,000 days. Can the global community from the South, North, East and West, government leaders, business people, community health workers, moms and dads and students across the world work together to reach this goal?…”

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/ray-chambers/millennium-development-goals_b_2954477.html

A Push for HPV Vaccinations

New York Times
http://www.nytimes.com/
Accessed 30 March 2013

A Push for HPV Vaccinations
By SABRINA TAVERNISE

Extract
The government recommended years ago that all adolescent girls get a vaccine to protect against cervical cancer. But nearly seven years after it first came to market, an overwhelming majority of girls have yet to be inoculated.

Just 35 percent of girls 13 to 17 have received a full course of the vaccine, which inoculates against the strains of human papillomavirus that can cause cervical cancer, according to 2011 data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And a study in Pediatrics this month, also based on C.D.C. data, says the intent to vaccinate is declining: 44 percent of parents in 2010 said they did not intend to vaccinate, up from 40 percent in 2008.

Alarmed by the stubbornly low rates, doctors and federal health officials are brainstorming about how to get more children vaccinated.

“Behind these numbers are people who will develop cervical cancer that could have been prevented,” said Dr. Bruce Gellin, director of the National Vaccine Program Office at the Department of Health and Human Services…

http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/25/a-push-for-hpv-vaccinations/

WHO official says 240,000 Pakistani children missed polio vaccinations in tribal regions

Washington Post
http://www.washingtonpost.com/
Accessed 30 March 2013

WHO official says 240,000 Pakistani children missed polio vaccinations in tribal regions
By Associated Press, Published: March 29
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/unicef-official-says-240000-pakistani-children-missed-polio-vaccinations-in-tribal-regions/2013/03/29/7c710512-9874-11e2-b5b4-b63027b499de_story.html

Extract
ISLAMABAD — Some 240,000 children have missed U.N.-backed vaccinations against polio because of security concerns in Pakistan’s tribal regions bordering Afghanistan, a top official with the World Health Organization said Friday.

Dr. Nima Saeed Abid, the acting WHO chief in Pakistan, said health workers have not been able to immunize children in the North and South Waziristan regions — Taliban strongholds — since July 2012…

Vaccines: The Week in Review 23 March 2013

Editor’s Notes:

Email Summary: Vaccines: The Week in Review is available as a weekly email summary: please send your request to david.r.curry@centerforvaccineethicsandpolicy.org.

pdf version: A pdf of the current issues is available here: Vaccines_The Week in Review_23 March 2013

Twitter: Readers can also follow developments on twitter: @vaxethicspolicy.

Support: If you would like to join the growing list of individuals who support this service and its contribution to their roles in public health, clinical practice, government, IGOs/NGOs, research, industry and academia, please visit this page at The Wistar Institute, our co-founder and fiduciary. Thank you…

CDC Reports About 90 Percent of Children Who Died From Flu This Season Not Vaccinated

Media Release: CDC Reports About 90 Percent of Children Who Died From Flu This Season Not Vaccinated

Excerpt
March 22, 2013 – The number of influenza-associated pediatric deaths reported to CDC during the current season surpassed 100 this week as an additional 6 deaths were reported in FluView. This brings the total number of influenza-associated pediatric deaths reported to CDC, to date, to 105 for the 2012-2013 season.

Pediatric deaths are defined as flu-associated deaths that occur in people younger than 18 years. An early look at this season’s reports indicates that about 90 percent occurred in children who had not received a flu vaccination this season.

This review also indicated that 60 percent of deaths occurred in children who were at high risk of developing serious flu-related complications, but 40 percent of these children had no recognized chronic health problems. The proportions of pediatric deaths occurring in children who were unvaccinated and those who had high-risk conditions are consistent with what has been seen in previous seasons….

“… According to CDC survey data, only about 40 percent of children had received a 2012-2013 influenza vaccine by mid-November of 2012. The final estimated vaccination rate among children during the 2011-2012 season was 52 percent.

Across all age groups, this season’s vaccine was found to be about 60 percent effective in preventing medically attended influenza illness. This number was lower among people 65 and older, but flu vaccination reduced a child’s risk of having to go to the doctor because of flu by more than 60 percent…”

Full media release: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/spotlights/children-flu-deaths.htm

World TB Day 2013

World TB Day 2013
http://www.who.int/campaigns/tb-day/2013/en/index.html
WHO celebrates World TB Day 2013 on 24 March with the slogan “Stop TB in My Lifetime”. Progress towards global targets of reducing TB cases and deaths in recent years has been impressive, but at least US$ 1.6 billion is needed annually to prevent the spread of the disease. According to WHO Director-General Dr Margaret Chan, “we have gained a lot of ground in TB, but it can easily be lost if we do not act now.”

Media Release: World Health Organization and Global Fund cite tuberculosis threat
Urgent need for US$ 1.6 billion a year in international financing to prevent spread of disease
WHO/Global Fund joint news release
Excerpt
“…WHO and the Global Fund have identified an anticipated gap of US$ 1.6 billion in annual international support for the fight against tuberculosis in 118 low- and middle-income countries on top of an estimated US$ 3.2 billion that could be provided by the countries themselves. Filling this gap could enable full treatment for 17 million TB and multidrug-resistant TB patients and save 6 million lives between 2014-2016…

“It is critical that we raise the funding that is urgently needed to control this disease,” said Global Fund Executive Director Dr Mark Dybul. “If we don’t act now, our costs could skyrocket. It is invest now or pay forever.” …

In addition to the US$ 1.6 billion annual gap in international financing for the critical implementation interventions above, WHO and partners estimate that there is a US$ 1.3 billion annual gap for TB research and development during the period 2014-2016, including clinical trials for new TB drugs, diagnostics and vaccines.

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/releases/2013/tuberculosis_threat_20130318/en/index.html

 
Statement: Emergence of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis, Inadequate Funding Impeding Further Progress to Reduce Infections, Secretary-General Says in Message (22 March 2013)
SG/SM/14899-OBV/1202

Speech: WHO Director-General’s message on World TB Day
Dr Margaret Chan
Remarks at a press briefing on World Tuberculosis Day
Geneva, Switzerland
18 March 2013
http://www.who.int/dg/speeches/2013/world_tb_day_20130318/en/index.html

PAHO/WHO urges stepped-up efforts against TB in vulnerable urban groups in the Americas
The Pan American Health Organization/World Health Organization (PAHO/WHO) today called for stepped-up efforts to prevent and control tuberculosis in the Americas, especially in vulnerable populations living in large cities.  Despite significant advances against TB, the disease continues to be the second-leading…

Stop TB in South-East Asia – zero death to zero infection
South-East Asia accounts for 40% of the world’s burden of tuberculosis. However, with greater public awareness of TB, increased number of cases being detected, and more people having access to adequate treatment, the number of deaths due to the disease has declined by 40% since 1990, and the Region is on track to achieve the global target of 50% reduction in death rates (compared with 1990) by 2015.

Adequate treatment essential to stop tuberculosis across Europe – WHO/ECDC new report
19-03-2013
Over 1000 patients are estimated to fall sick with tuberculosis (TB) every day across Europe – or over 380 000 yearly – signalling that there is no room for complacency when it comes to TB prevention and control. Marking World TB Day, the WHO Regional Office for Europe and ECDC today released new surveillance data for 2011.  The data show that while overall the number of TB cases has come down at a rate of 5% per year, countries in the eastern part of the WHO European Region bear 87% of the burden. These countries also recorded most of the estimated 44 000 TB deaths in 2011. The European Union (EU)/European Economic Area (EEA) countries reported over 72 000 cases of TB, which signifies a 4% decrease compared to 2010.

GPEI Update: Polio this week – As of 20 March 2013

Update: Polio this week – As of 20 March 2013
Global Polio Eradication Initiative
http://www.polioeradication.org/Dataandmonitoring/Poliothisweek.aspx

[Editor’s Extract and bolded text]
– In 2013, no WPV3 cases have been reported. Over the past six months, only two cases due to this strain were reported worldwide (both in Nigeria, the most recent had onset of paralysis on 10 November). In Asia, no WPV3 cases have been reported since last April. It is the lowest levels of WPV3 transmission ever recorded.
– The latest information on polio-related research activities have been published in the newest edition of Polio Pipeline, available here [pdf].

Nigeria
– One new WPV case was reported in the past week (WPV1 from Bauchi), bringing the total number of WPV cases for 2013 to five. It is the most recent case in the country and had onset of paralysis on 13 February. The total number of WPV cases for 2012 remains 122.

Pakistan
– The security situation continues to be monitored closely, in consultation with law enforcement agencies. Immunization activities continue to be implemented, in some areas staggered or postponed, depending on the security situation at the local level.

Chad
– One new cVDPV2 case was reported in the past week, with onset of paralysis on 4 February (from Salamat, in the east of the country). It is the first cVDPV2 case in Chad in 2013. The total number of cVDPV2 cases for 2012 remains 12.

WHO GAR – 23 March 2013: Novel coronavirus infection – update

WHO – Global Alert and Response (GAR)
Disease Outbreak News –
http://www.who.int/csr/don/2013_03_12/en/index.html
23 March 2013  Novel coronavirus infection – update

The Ministry of Health in Saudi Arabia has informed WHO of a new confirmed case of infection with the novel coronavirus (nCoV).

The patient is a contact of the previous case reported in the Disease Outbreak News on 12 March 2012. This person suffered a mild illness, and has recovered and been discharged from hospital. Currently, there is insufficient information available to allow a conclusive assessment of the mode and source of transmission.

To date, WHO has been informed of a global total of 16 confirmed cases of human infection with nCoV, including nine deaths.

Based on the current situation and available information, WHO encourages all Member States (MS) to continue their surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) and to carefully review any unusual patterns. WHO is currently working with international experts and countries where cases have been reported to assess the situation and review recommendations for surveillance and monitoring.

All MS are reminded to promptly assess and notify WHO of any new case of infection with nCoV, along with information about potential exposures that may have resulted in infection and a description of the clinical course.

WHO does not advise special screening at points of entry with regard to this event nor does it recommend that any travel or trade restrictions be applied.

WHO continues to closely monitor the situation.

Report: Safeguarding Children: Pediatric Medical Countermeasure Research

Report: Safeguarding Children: Pediatric Medical Countermeasure Research
Presidential Commission for the Study of Bioethical Issues

Safeguarding Children: Pediatric Medical Countermeasure Research is the response from the Presidential Commission for the Study of Bioethical Issues (the Bioethics Commission) to a request from Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius.  In January 2012 Secretary Sebelius asked the Bioethics Commission to study the question of anthrax vaccine trials with children after receiving a recommendation from another federal committee that such research be initiated, pending ethical review.  In this report the Bioethics Commission concluded that the federal government would have to take multiple steps before anthrax vaccine trials with children could be ethically considered.  In addition to recommending that pre-event trials with children not go forward in the absence of further testing on adults, the Bioethics Commission clarifies other rigorous conditions that must be met before such pediatric research is ethically considered.

In this report the Bioethics Commission also more generally considered the ethics of research on pediatric medical countermeasures (MCM), the catchall term for the use of federally-regulated drugs and products in response to chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear attacks.

http://bioethics.gov/cms/node/833
Media Release: http://bioethics.gov/cms/node/838
Full report: http://bioethics.gov/cms/sites/default/files/PCSBI_Pediatric-MCM_2.pdf

Gaps in detailed knowledge of HPV and HPV vaccine among medical students in Scotland

BMC Public Health
(Accessed 23 March 2013)
http://www.biomedcentral.com/bmcpublichealth/content

Research article  
Gaps in detailed knowledge of human papillomavirus (HPV) and the HPV vaccine among medical students in Scotland
Sarah M McCusker, Ishbel Macqueen, Graham Lough, Alasdair I MacDonald, Christine Campbell, Sheila V Graham BMC Public Health 2013, 13:264 (22 March 2013)

Abstract (provisional)
Background
A vaccination programme targeted against human papillomavirus (HPV) types16 and 18 was introduced in the UK in 2008, with the aim of decreasing incidence of cervical disease. Vaccine roll out to 12–13 year old girls with a catch-up programme for girls aged up to 17 years and 364 days was accompanied by a very comprehensive public health information (PHI) campaign which described the role of HPV in the development of cervical cancer.

Methods
A brief questionnaire, designed to assess acquisition of knowledge of HPV infection and its association to cervical cancer, was administered to two different cohorts of male and female 1st year medical students (school leavers: 83% in age range 17–20) at a UK university. The study was timed so that the first survey in 2008 immediately followed a summer’s intensive PHI campaign and very shortly after vaccine roll-out (150 students). The second survey was exactly one year later over which time there was a sustained PHI campaign (213 students).

Results
We addressed three research questions: knowledge about three specific details of HPV infection that could be acquired from PHI, whether length of the PHI campaign and/or vaccination of females had any bearing on HPV knowledge, and knowledge differences between men and women regarding HPV. No female student in the 2008 cohort had completed the three-dose vaccine schedule compared to 58.4% of female students in 2009. Overall, participants’ knowledge regarding the sexually transmitted nature of HPV and its association with cervical cancer was high in both year groups. However, in both years, less than 50% of students correctly identified that HPV causes over 90% of cases of cervical cancer. Males gave fewer correct answers for these two details in 2009. In 2008 only around 50% of students recognised that the current vaccine protects against a limited subset of cervical cancer-causing HPV sub-types, although there was a significant increase in correct response among female students in the 2009 cohort compared to the 2008 cohort.

Conclusions
This study highlights a lack of understanding regarding the extent of protection against cervical cancer conferred by the HPV vaccine, even among an educated population in the UK who could have a vested interest in acquiring such knowledge. The intensive PHI campaign accompanying the first year of HPV vaccination seemed to have little effect on knowledge over time. This is one of the first studies to assess detailed knowledge of HPV in both males and females. There is scope for continued improvements to PHI regarding the link between HPV infection and cervical cancer.

The complete article is available as a provisional PDF. The fully formatted PDF and HTML versions are in production.

Knowledge of, attitudes toward, and preventive practices relating to cholera and oral cholera vaccine among urban high-risk groups: findings of a cross-sectional study in Dhaka, Bangladesh

BMC Public Health
(Accessed 23 March 201)
http://www.biomedcentral.com/bmcpublichealth/content

Research article  
Knowledge of, attitudes toward, and preventive practices relating to cholera and oral cholera vaccine among urban high-risk groups: findings of a cross-sectional study in Dhaka, Bangladesh
Tasnuva Wahed, Sheikh Shah Kaukab, Nirod Chandra Saha, Iqbal Ansary Khan, Farhana Khanam, Fahima Chowdhury, Amit Saha, Ashraful Islam Khan, Ashraf Uddin Siddik, Alejandro Cravioto, Firdausi Qadri, Jasim Uddin BMC Public Health 2013, 13:242 (19 March 2013)

Abstract (provisional)
Background
In endemic countries such as Bangladesh, consequences of cholera place an enormous financial and social burden on patients and their families. Cholera vaccines not only provide health benefits to susceptible populations but also have effects on the earning capabilities and financial stability of the family. Community-based research and evaluations are necessary to understand perceptions about and practices of the community relating to cholera and oral cholera vaccines. This may help identify the ways in which such vaccines may be successfully introduced, and other preventive measures can be implemented. The present study assessed the knowledge of, attitudes toward, and preventive practices relating to cholera and oral cholera vaccine among an urban population residing in a high cholera-prone setting in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Methods
This cross-sectional study was conducted in an area of high cholera prevalence in 15 randomly-selected clusters in Mirpur, Dhaka city. A study team collected data through a survey and in-depth interviews during December 2010–February 2011.

Results
Of 2,830 families included in the final analysis, 23% could recognize cholera as acute watery diarrhea and 16% had ever heard of oral cholera vaccine. About 54% of the respondents had poor knowledge about cholera-related issues while 97% had a positive attitude toward cholera and oral cholera vaccine. One-third showed poor practice relating to the prevention of cholera.

The findings showed a significant (p < 0.05) association between the respondents’ knowledge and sex, education, occupation, monthly overall household expenditure, attitudes and practice. In the adjusted model, male sex, having a lower monthly overall household expenditure, and having a less positive attitude toward cholera were the significant predictors to having poor knowledge.

Conclusions
The findings suggest the strengthening of health education activities to improve knowledge on cholera, its prevention and treatment and information on cholera vaccination among high-risk populations. The data also underscore the potential of mass cholera vaccination to prevent and control cholera.

The complete article is available as a provisional PDF. The fully formatted PDF and HTML versions are in production.

Risk Factors for Influenza among Health Care Workers during 2009 Pandemic, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Emerging Infectious Diseases
Volume 19, Number 4—April 2013
http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/index.htm

CME ACTIVITY
Risk Factors for Influenza among Health Care Workers during 2009 Pandemic, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Stefan P. Kuster, Brenda L. Coleman, Janet Raboud, Shelly McNeil, Gaston De Serres, Jonathan Gubbay, Todd Hatchette, Kevin C. Katz, Mark Loeb, Donald Low, Tony Mazzulli, Andrew Simor, Allison J. McGeer, Stefan P. Kuster , Brenda L. Coleman, Janet Raboud, Shelly McNeil, Gaston De Serres, Jonathan Gubbay, Todd Hatchette, Kevin C. Katz, Mark Loeb, Donald Low, Tony Mazzulli, Andrew Simor, Allison J. McGeer, and on behalf of the Working Adult Influenza Cohort Study Groupon behalf of the Working Adult Influenza Cohort Study Group
http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/19/4/11-1812_article.htm

Abstract
This prospective cohort study, performed during the 2009 influenza A(H1N1) pandemic, was aimed to determine whether adults working in acute care hospitals were at higher risk than other working adults for influenza and to assess risk factors for influenza among health care workers (HCWs). We assessed the risk for influenza among 563 HCWs and 169 non-HCWs using PCR to test nasal swab samples collected during acute respiratory illness; results for 13 (2.2%) HCWs and 7 (4.1%) non-HCWs were positive for influenza. Influenza infection was associated with contact with family members who had acute respiratory illnesses (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 6.9, 95% CI 2.2–21.8); performing aerosol-generating medical procedures (AOR 2.0, 95% CI 1.1–3.5); and low self-reported adherence to hand hygiene recommendations (AOR 0.9, 95% CI 0.7–1.0). Contact with persons with acute respiratory illness, rather than workplace, was associated with influenza infection. Adherence to infection control recommendations may prevent influenza among HCWs.

TB in Europe

Eurosurveillance
Volume 18, Issue 12, 21 March 2013
http://www.eurosurveillance.org/Public/Articles/Archives.aspx?PublicationId=11678

Editorials
Joint efforts needed to stop transmission of tuberculosis in Europe
by MJ van der Werf, M Sprenger

Surveillance and outbreak reports
Extrapulmonary tuberculosis in the European Union and European Economic Area, 2002 to 2011
by A Sandgren, V Hollo, MJ van der Werf

Challenges in diagnosing extrapulmonary tuberculosis in the European Union, 2011
by I Solovic, J Jonsson, M Korzeniewska- Koseła, DI Chiotan, A Pace-Asciak, E Slump, R Rumetshofer, I Abubakar, S Kos, P Svetina-Sorli, W Haas, T Bauer, A Sandgren, MJ van der Werf

Research articles
ECDC and WHO/Europe joint report on tuberculosis surveillance and monitoring in Europe
by Eurosurveillance editorial team

Convergence of non-communicable and infectious diseases in low- and middle-income countries

International Journal of Epidemiology
Volume 42 Issue 1 February 2013
http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/current

Global Health
Convergence of non-communicable and infectious diseases in low- and middle-income countries
Justin V Remais, Guang Zeng, Guangwei Li, Lulu Tian, and Michael M Engelgau
Int. J. Epidemiol. (2013) 42(1): 221-227 doi:10.1093/ije/dys135
http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/42/1/221.abstract

Abstract
The convergence of non-communicable disease (NCD) and infectious disease (ID) in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) presents new challenges and new opportunities to enact responsive changes in policy and research. Most LMICs have significant dual disease burdens of NCDs such as cardiovascular disease, diabetes and cancer, and IDs including tuberculosis, HIV/AIDS and parasitic diseases. A combined strategy is needed in surveillance and disease control; yet, experts, institutions and policies that support prevention and control of these two overarching disease categories have limited interaction and alignment. NCDs and IDs share common features, such as long-term care needs and overlapping high-risk populations, and there are also notable direct interactions, such as the association between certain IDs and cancers, as well as evidence of increased susceptibility to IDs in individuals with NCDs. Enhanced simultaneous surveillance of NCD and ID comorbidity in LMIC populations would generate the empirical data needed to better understand the dual burden, and to target coordinated care. Where IDs and NCDs are endemic, focusing on vulnerable populations by strengthening social protections and improving access to health services is crucial, as is the re-alignment of efforts to combine NCD and ID screening, treatment programmes, and the assessment of their impact. Integrating public health activities for ID and NCD should extend beyond health care services to prevention, which is widely seen as crucial to successful NCD and ID control campaigns alike. The convergence of NCD and ID in LMICs has the potential to overstretch already strained health systems. With some LMICs now focused on major health system reforms, a unique opportunity is available to address NCD and ID challenges with newfound urgency and novel approaches.

Commentary: The global health multiplier: targeting common social causes of infectious and non-communicable diseases
David Stuckler1,2,*, Martin McKee1 and Sanjay Basu3
http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/42/1/232.extract

A Population-Based Cohort Study of Undervaccination in 8 Managed Care Organizations Across the United States

JAMA Pediatrics
March 2013, Vol 167, No. 3
http://archpedi.jamanetwork.com/issue.aspx

A Population-Based Cohort Study of Undervaccination in 8 Managed Care Organizations Across the United States
Jason M. Glanz, PhD; Sophia R. Newcomer, MPH; Komal J. Narwaney, MD, PhD; Simon J. Hambidge, MD, PhD; Matthew F. Daley, MD; Nicole M. Wagner, MPH; David L. McClure, PhD; Stan Xu, PhD; Ali Rowhani-Rahbar, MD, PhD; Grace M. Lee, MD, MPH; Jennifer C. Nelson, PhD; James G. Donahue, DVM, PhD; Allison L. Naleway, PhD; James D. Nordin, MD, MPH; Marlene M. Lugg, DrPH; Eric S. Weintraub, MPH
http://archpedi.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleid=1558057

Abstract
Objectives  To examine patterns and trends of undervaccination in children aged 2 to 24 months and to compare health care utilization rates between undervaccinated and age-appropriately vaccinated children.

Design  Retrospective matched cohort study.

Setting  Eight managed care organizations of the Vaccine Safety Datalink.

Participants  Children born between 2004 and 2008.

Main Exposure  Immunization records were used to calculate the average number of days undervaccinated. Two matched cohorts were created: 1 with children who were undervaccinated for any reason and 1 with children who were undervaccinated because of parental choice. For both cohorts, undervaccinated children were matched to age-appropriately vaccinated children by birth date, managed care organization, and sex.

Main Outcome Measures  Rates of undervaccination, specific patterns of undervaccination, and health care utilization rates.

Results  Of 323 247 children born between 2004 and 2008, 48.7% were undervaccinated for at least 1 day before age 24 months. The prevalence of undervaccination and specific patterns of undervaccination increased over time (P < .001). In a matched cohort analysis, undervaccinated children had lower outpatient visit rates compared with children who were age-appropriately vaccinated (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.89; 95% CI, 0.89- 0.90). In contrast, undervaccinated children had increased inpatient admission rates compared with age-appropriately vaccinated children (IRR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.18-1.23). In a second matched cohort analysis, children who were undervaccinated because of parental choice had lower rates of outpatient visits (IRR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.93-0.95) and emergency department encounters (IRR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.88-0.94) than age-appropriately vaccinated children.

Conclusions  Undervaccination appears to be an increasing trend. Undervaccinated children appear to have different health care utilization patterns compared with age-appropriately vaccinated children.

Editorial: The Enigma of Alternative Childhood Immunization Schedules – What Are the Questions?

JAMA Pediatrics
March 2013, Vol 167, No. 3
http://archpedi.jamanetwork.com/issue.aspx

Editorial
The Enigma of Alternative Childhood Immunization Schedules – What Are the Questions?
Douglas J. Opel, MD, MPH; Edgar K. Marcuse, MD, MPH
http://archpedi.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleid=1558058

Alternative childhood immunization schedules have emerged as a distinct phenomenon in response to parental concerns about the safety of the US immunization schedule and its component vaccines. Some alternative schedules have been put in writing,1 many more are ad hoc, and all endorse a spacing out, a delaying, or a forgoing of at least some vaccines (which is contrary to what is jointly recommended by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, the American Academy of Pediatrics, and the American Academy of Family Physicians). None of these alternative schedules have been tested for their safety and efficacy.

EDITORIAL COMMENTARY – Therapeutic Vaccination: Hope for Untreatable Tuberculosis

Journal of Infectious Diseases
Volume 207 Issue 8 April 15, 2013
http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/toc/jid/current

EDITORIAL COMMENTARIES
Therapeutic Vaccination: Hope for Untreatable Tuberculosis?
David N. McMurray
J Infect Dis. (2013) 207(8): 1193-1194 doi:10.1093/infdis/jis429
http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/207/8/1193.extract

Extract
Although tuberculosis remains a major public health threat globally [1], promising advances have been made in the past several years in the development of new tools to control the pandemic. These include rapid diagnostic tests [2], new drug regimens that may shorten the total treatment time and improve compliance [3], and novel drug delivery systems that may allow sustained therapeutic levels with lower drug doses [4]. There are currently more than a dozen tuberculosis vaccines in human trials that are based upon a variety of platforms, including viral-vectored, recombinant bacille Calmette-Guérin, and protein/peptide vaccines [5].

Thus, the progress made in recent years in the battle against this ancient scourge is remarkable.

Unfortunately, control of tuberculosis is complicated by a number of factors, not the least of which are the interactions with human immunodeficiency infection and the development of multidrug-resistant and extensively drug-resistant strains [6]. In parts of the world where these resistant strains are common, treatment of patients with tuberculosis is difficult, if not impossible, because of the paucity of effective drugs. For such patients, an immune-stimulatory therapy that effectively engages patients’ own immune systems to assist the drugs in controlling the infection would be a major asset in the clinic setting. The therapeutic vaccine described by Coler et al [7] in this issue of the Journal of Infectious …

Extended Evaluation of the Virologic, Immunologic, and Clinical Course of Volunteers Who Acquired HIV-1 Infection in a Phase III Vaccine Trial of ALVAC-HIV and AIDSVAX B/E

Journal of Infectious Diseases
Volume 207 Issue 8 April 15, 2013
http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/toc/jid/current

HIV/AIDS
Extended Evaluation of the Virologic, Immunologic, and Clinical Course of Volunteers Who Acquired HIV-1 Infection in a Phase III Vaccine Trial of ALVAC-HIV and AIDSVAX B/E
Supachai Rerks-Ngarm, Robert M. Paris, Supamit Chunsutthiwat, Nakorn Premsri, Chawetsan amwat, Chureeratana Bowonwatanuwong, Shuying S. Li, Jaranit Kaewkungkal, Rapee Trichavaroj, Nampueng Churikanont, Mark S. de Souza, Charla Andrews, Donald Francis, Elizabeth Adams, Jorge Flores, Sanjay Gurunathan, Jim Tartaglia, Robert J. O’Connell, Chirapa Eamsila, Sorachai Nitayaphan, Viseth Ngauy, Prasert Thongcharoen, Prayura Kunasol, Nelson L. Michael, Merlin L. Robb, Peter B. Gilbert, and Jerome H. Kim
J Infect Dis. (2013) 207(8): 1195-1205 doi:10.1093/infdis/jis478
http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/207/8/1195.abstract

Abstract
Background. The Thai Phase III Trial of ALVAC-HIV and AIDSVAX B/E showed an estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) of 31% to prevent acquisition of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Here we evaluated the effect of vaccination on disease progression after infection.

Methods.CD4 + T-cell counts and HIV viral load (VL) were measured serially. The primary analysis evaluated vaccine efficacy (VEP) as the percent reduction (vaccine vs placebo) in cumulative probability of a primary composite endpoint of clinical and CD4+ count components at prespecified time points after infection. Secondary analyses of biomarker-based endpoints were assessed using marginal mean and linear mixed models.

Results. There were 61 endpoints in the modified intent-to-treat cohort (mITT; n=114). There was no evidence for efficacy at 30, 42, 54, and 60 months in the mITT and per protocol (n = 90) cohorts. Estimated VEP (mITT) was15.8% (−21.9, 41.8) at 60 months postinfection. There was weak evidence of lower VL and higher CD4+ count at 60 and 66 months in the vaccine group. Lower mucosal VL was observed among vaccine recipients, primarily in semen (P = .04).

Conclusions. Vaccination did not affect the clinical course of HIV disease after infection. A potential vaccine effect on the genital  mucosa warrants further study.

Trial registration.Clinicaltrials.gov identifier:  NCT00337181.

Therapeutic Immunization against Mycobacterium tuberculosis Is an Effective Adjunct to Antibiotic Treatment

Journal of Infectious Diseases
Volume 207 Issue 8 April 15, 2013
http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/toc/jid/current

Therapeutic Immunization against Mycobacterium tuberculosis Is an Effective Adjunct to Antibiotic Treatment
Rhea N. Coler, Sylvie Berthelot, Samuel O. Pine, Mark T. Orr, Valerie Reese,
Hillarie Plessner Windish, Charles Davis, Maria Kahn, Susan L. Baldwin, and Steven G. Reed
J Infect Dis. (2013) 207(8): 1242-1252 doi:10.1093/infdis/jis425
http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/207/8/1242.abstract

Abstract
Background.  Recent advances in rational adjuvant design and antigen selection have enabled a new generation of vaccines with potential to treat and prevent infectious disease. The aim of this study was to assess whether therapeutic immunization could impact the course of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection with use of a candidate tuberculosis vaccine antigen, ID93, formulated in a synthetic nanoemulsion adjuvant, GLA-SE, administered in combination with existing first-line chemotherapeutics rifampicin and isoniazid.

Methods. We used a mouse model of fatal tuberculosis and the established cynomolgus monkey model to design an immuno-chemotherapeutic strategy to increase long-term survival and reduce bacterial burden, compared with standard antibiotic chemotherapy alone.

Results. This combined approach induced robust and durable pluripotent antigen-specific T helper–1-type immune responses, decreased  bacterial burden, reduced the duration of conventional chemotherapy required for survival, and decreased M. tuberculosis–induced lung pathology, compared with chemotherapy alone.

Conclusions.  These results demonstrate the ability of therapeutic immunization to significantly enhance the efficacy of chemotherapy against tuberculosis and other infectious diseases, with implications for treatment duration, patient compliance, and more optimal resource allocation.

Biosecurity and the division of cognitive labour (dual use research)

Journal of Medical Ethics
April 2013, Volume 39, Issue 4
http://jme.bmj.com/content/current

The concise argument
Biosecurity and the division of cognitive labour
Thomas Douglas, Associate Editor
http://jme.bmj.com/content/39/4/193.extract

The last 12 years have seen historically high levels of interest in biosecurity among life scientists, science policymakers, and academic experts on science and security policy. This interest was triggered by the 9/11 terrorist attacks, the ‘anthrax letters’ attack of the same year, and two virology papers, published early last decade, that were thought to raise serious biosecurity concerns.1 Ethicists have come relatively late to the game, but, in recent years, a lively debate has developed on ethical issues raised by biosecurity policy, and, more generally, on the ethics of producing and disseminating ‘dangerous’ biomedical knowledge. Unsurprisingly, this debate has taken on increased sense of urgency over the last 18 months as the journals Science and Nature, the United States National Science Advisory Board for Biosecurity, and the World Health Organization, among others, have been considering whether and how to publish two academic papers reporting means of enhancing the transmissibility of H5N1 influenza, or ‘bird flu’ (see, for discussion, Evans’ paper in this issue).

We hope that this issue of the Journal of Medical Ethics will substantially advance the emerging ethical debate in this area. The issue features five articles on the ethics of biosecurity: a feature article, by Allen Buchanan and Maureen Kelley (see page 195, Editor’s choice); three brief replies to this article, by Michael Selgelid (see page 205), Thomas May (see page 206), and Nicholas King (see page 207); and a stand-alone paper by Nicholas Evans (see page 209), which discusses the recent H5N1 controversy and analyses the appeals to scientific freedom that have been made by some of its protagonists…

Safety and efficacy of MVA85A, a new tuberculosis vaccine, in infants previously vaccinated with BCG: a randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2b trial

The Lancet  
Mar 23, 2013  Volume 381  Number 9871  p963 – 1070
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/issue/current

Comment
A major event for new tuberculosis vaccines
Christopher Dye, Paul EM Fine
Preview |
One of the great quests of contemporary medical research is the search for an improved tuberculosis vaccine—one that provides greater and more consistent protection against tuberculosis than the BCG vaccine can achieve. The stakes are high. The venture is costly and risky, but has a huge potential payoff. A high-efficacy vaccine could revolutionise control of tuberculosis, shifting the emphasis from treatment to prevention. As the case numbers slowly fall in high-burden countries, and as new strains of drug-resistant tuberculosis emerge, a novel and transformational technology for tuberculosis control would be cause for great celebration.

Research Focus
Profile: SATVI—a leading light in tuberculosis vaccine research
Adele Baleta

Safety and efficacy of MVA85A, a new tuberculosis vaccine, in infants previously vaccinated with BCG: a randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2b trial
Michele D Tameris, Mark Hatherill, Bernard S Landry, Thomas J Scriba, Margaret Ann Snowden, Stephen Lockhart, Jacqueline E Shea, J Bruce McClain, Gregory D Hussey, Willem A Hanekom, Hassan Mahomed, Helen McShane, the MVA85A 020 Trial Study Team
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736%2813%2960177-4/abstract

Summary
Background
BCG vaccination provides incomplete protection against tuberculosis in infants. A new vaccine, modified Vaccinia Ankara virus expressing antigen 85A (MVA85A), was designed to enhance the protective efficacy of BCG. We aimed to assess safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy of MVA85A against tuberculosis and Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection in infants.

Methods
In our double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2b trial, we enrolled healthy infants (aged 4—6 months) without HIV infection who had previously received BCG vaccination. We randomly allocated infants (1:1), according to an independently generated sequence with block sizes of four, to receive one intradermal dose of MVA85A or an equal volume of Candida skin test antigen as placebo at a clinical facility in a rural region near Cape Town, South Africa. We actively followed up infants every 3 months for up to 37 months. The primary study outcome was safety (incidence of adverse and serious adverse events) in all vaccinated participants, but we also assessed efficacy in a protocol-defined group of participants who received at least one dose of allocated vaccine. The primary efficacy endpoint was incident tuberculosis incorporating microbiological, radiological, and clinical criteria, and the secondary efficacy endpoint was M tuberculosis infection according to QuantiFERON TB Gold In-tube conversion (Cellestis, Australia). This trial was registered with the South African National Clinical Trials Register (DOH-27-0109-2654) and with ClinicalTrials.gov on July 31, 2009, number NCT00953927

Findings
Between July 15, 2009, and May 4, 2011, we enrolled 2797 infants (1399 allocated MVA85A and 1398 allocated placebo). Median follow-up in the per-protocol population was 24·6 months (IQR 19·2—28·1), and did not differ between groups. More infants who received MVA85A than controls had at least one local adverse event (1251 [89%] of 1399 MVA85A recipients and 628 [45%] of 1396 controls who received the allocated intervention) but the numbers of infants with systemic adverse events (1120 [80%] and 1059 [76%]) or serious adverse events (257 [18%] and 258 (18%) did not differ between groups. None of the 648 serious adverse events in these 515 infants was related to MVA85A. 32 (2%) of 1399 MVA85A recipients met the primary efficacy endpoint (tuberculosis incidence of 1·15 per 100 person-years [95% CI 0·79 to 1·62]; with conversion in 178 [13%] of 1398 infants [95% CI 11·0 to 14·6]) as did 39 (3%) of 1395 controls (1·39 per 100 person-years [1·00 to 1·91]; with conversion in 171 [12%] of 1394 infants [10·6 to 14·1]). Efficacy against tuberculosis was 17·3% (95% CI −31·9 to 48·2) and against M tuberculosis infection was −3·8% (—28·1 to 15·9).

Interpretation
MVA85A was well tolerated and induced modest cell-mediated immune responses. Reasons for the absence of MVA85A efficacy against tuberculosis or M tuberculosis infection in infants need exploration.

Funding
Aeras, Wellcome Trust, and Oxford-Emergent Tuberculosis Consortium (OETC).

Immunogenicity and safety of an enterovirus 71 vaccine in healthy Chinese children and infants: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 2 clinical trial

The Lancet  
Mar 23, 2013  Volume 381  Number 9871  p963 – 1070
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/issue/current

Immunogenicity and safety of an enterovirus 71 vaccine in healthy Chinese children and infants: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 2 clinical trial
Feng-Cai Zhu, Zheng-Lun Liang, Xiu-Ling Li, Heng-Ming Ge, Fan-Yue Meng, Qun-Ying Mao, Yun-Tao Zhang, Yue-Mei Hu, Zhen-Yu Zhang, Jing-Xin Li, Fan Gao, Qing-Hua Chen, Qi-Yan Zhu, Kai Chu, Xing Wu, Xin Yao, Hui-Jie Guo, Xiao-Qin Chen, Pei Liu, Yu-Ying Dong, Feng-Xiang Li, Xin-Liang Shen, Jun-Zhi Wang
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736%2812%2961764-4/abstract

Summary
Background
Enterovirus 71 (EV71) outbreaks are a socioeconomic burden, especially in the western Pacific region. Results of phase 1 clinical trials suggest an EV71 vaccine has a clinically acceptable safety profile and immunogenicity. We aimed to assess the best possible dose and formulation, immunogenicity, and safety profile of this EV71 vaccine in healthy Chinese children.

Methods
This randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial was undertaken at one site in Donghai County, Jiangsu Province, China. Eligible participants were healthy boys or girls aged 6—36 months. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1:1:1:1) to receive either 160 U, 320 U, or 640 U alum-adjuvant EV71 vaccine, 640 U adjuvant-free EV71 vaccine, or a placebo (containing alum adjuvant only), according to a blocked randomisation list generated by SAS 9.1. Participants and investigators were masked to the assignment. The primary endpoint was anti-EV71 neutralising antibody geometric mean titres (GMTs) at day 56, analysed according to protocol. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01399853.

Findings
We randomly assigned 1200 participants, 240 (120 aged 6—11 months [infants] and 120 aged 12—36 months [children]) of whom were assigned to each dose. 1106 participants completed the study and were included in the according-to-protocol analysis. The main reasons for dropout were withdrawal of consent and refusal to donate a blood sample. Infants who received the 640 U adjuvant vaccine had the highest GMTs on day 56 (742·2 [95% CI 577·3—954·3]), followed by those who received the 320 U formulation (497·9 [383·1—647·0]). For children, those who received the 320 U formulation had the highest GMTs on day 56 (1383·2 [1037·3—1844·5]). Participants who received the vaccine had significantly higher GMTs than did who received placebo (p<0·0001). For the subgroup of participants who were seronegative at baseline, both infants and children who received the 640 U adjuvant vaccine had the highest GMTs on day 56 (522·8 [403·9—676·6] in infants and 708·4 [524·1—957·6] in children), followed by those who received the 320 U adjuvant vaccine (358·2 [280·5—457·5] in infants and 498·0 [383·4—646·9] in children). 549 (45·8%) of 1200 participants (95 CI 42·9—48·6%) reported at least one injection-site or systemic adverse reaction, but the incidence of adverse reactions did not differ significantly between groups (p=0·36). The 640 U alum-adjuvant vaccine group had a significantly higher incidence of induration than did the 640 U adjuvant-free group (p=0·001).

Interpretation
Taking immunogenicity, safety, and production capacity into account, the 320 U alum-adjuvant formulation of the EV71 vaccine is probably the best possible formulation for phase 3 trials.

Funding
The National Science and Technology Major Project (2011ZX10004-902) of the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology, China’s 12—5 National Major Infectious Disease Program (2012ZX10002-001), and Beijing Vigoo Biological.

Perspective: Security of Health Care and Global Health

New England Journal of Medicine
March 21, 2013  Vol. 368 No. 12
http://www.nejm.org/toc/nejm/medical-journal

Perspective
Security of Health Care and Global Health
Robin Coupland, F.R.C.S.
N Engl J Med 2013; 368:1075-1076March 21, 2013DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1214182
http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp1214182

My introduction to “global health” was rude. In the late 1980s and early 1990s, I worked as a surgeon in field hospitals of the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC). I treated hundreds of wounded people in eight different countries in Africa and Asia, where I visited many local health care facilities, the majority of which were hopelessly understaffed or undersupplied because of armed conflicts. Our surgical actions were just one part of a wide array of health care activities, and the ICRC is only one of many organizations attempting to support or deliver health care in contexts of violence. The security of facilities, patients, and staff was an everyday working consideration, and the problems we faced were common to all health care providers. Certain roads could not be traveled, ambulances were attacked, supplies were looted, staff and patients were subject to a variety of threats, and worst of all, patients and my colleagues were sometimes targeted directly and kidnapped or killed. Often such violence or widespread insecurity resulted in the termination of health care programs, which left entire already-vulnerable populations without health care.

Among all the constraints facing health care delivery in such settings, the most difficult one to address is a lack of security.1 One of our head nurses put it quite simply: “We can’t do anything without security.” In the bigger picture, the success or failure of our efforts to provide health care rested less on impeccable program planning and execution than in the hands of the people who were responsible for our security (or lack thereof), and it became clear to me that the relationships among security, insecurity, health, and health care are extremely complex.      Moreover, armed conflict generates immediate and additional health care requirements for wounded and sick people that exceed peacetime needs. Hospitals may fill rapidly with wounded people, both military and civilian, and the additional health care requirements arise at precisely the time when the accompanying insecurity makes it most difficult to address them. Even providing prehospital care for the wounded, including first aid and transport by ambulance, becomes dangerous, since health care personnel, ambulances, and health care facilities may be open to attack.

The uprisings in North Africa and the Middle East in the past 2 years have taken place largely in urban environments, where the preexisting facilities on which wounded people — whether civilian, police, or military — would normally depend for health care suffer a range of security problems, in part because these facilities and the people who staff them become integrated into the events. Ambulances may be attacked, and their staff harassed, because of the patients they are carrying. Health care providers may be prevented from treating members of one side of the dispute or the other. Hospitals may be seen as a place where enemies or “terrorists” can be arrested, interrogated, or even killed. Again, insecurity may be the factor determining whether people reach or benefit from health care. The problem is exacerbated by the fact that journalists, who are seeking to influence world opinion, know that telling images and testimonies may be found in overwhelmed, makeshift, or disrupted health care facilities; revealing the location and identity of wounded fighters can put these injured patients and those caring for them at considerable risk.

The lack of global attention to attacks on health care facilities and personnel was first appropriately highlighted in 2010.2 In 2011, the ICRC published a study analyzing various forms of violence and insecurity affecting health care in 16 countries in the midst of conflict. The study also drew attention to the massive domino effects on the health of entire communities that were being denied health care because of such violence and insecurity.3 It concluded that in terms of the numbers of people affected, violence, both real and threatened, against health care workers, facilities, and beneficiaries is one of the biggest, most complex, and yet most underrecognized humanitarian issues today. The study also raised the question of whether insecurity might be the primary reason why so many health care workers from developing countries seek work elsewhere. At the same time that it undertook the study, the ICRC launched the Health Care in Danger project, which aims to address a wide variety of issues related to delivering health care in insecure environments; the project includes engagement in a broader dialogue with those who are in a position to improve this security. It has drawn support from numerous health care institutions. In 2012, the World Health Assembly also formally recognized the need to address the insecurity of health care.4,5

So what can be done to address this insecurity? First, the health care community, broadly defined, must recognize this issue and be able to communicate about it: if we don’t express our concern, it’s unlikely that concern will be generated in other quarters. Health care workers who are likely to be working in areas of conflict need better preparation and training to deal with the many practical and ethical issues they will predictably face. For example, they should learn how to determine appropriate standards of care in such situations and how best to avoid discrimination in providing access to timely treatment.

But recommendations for the health care community don’t directly address the security issues. There must also be recognition and upholding of the rules of international humanitarian law and human rights law that require all authorities to respect and protect the wounded, the sick, health care personnel, and health care facilities. Armed forces and police forces need more and better training with respect to these laws, as well as training in such activities as running checkpoints in a way that avoids delaying the passage of ambulances and conducting search operations near or even in health care facilities without disrupting the provision of health care. Governments need to develop national laws to better protect health care personnel and facilities. These and other measures are currently being actively pursued by the ICRC’s Health Care in Danger project in partnership with national Red Cross or Red Crescent Societies.

Threats to health care during conflicts are not just an issue for humanitarian aid agencies. The global health community has taken a long time to recognize that conflict, violence, and insecurity are more than constraints on the delivery of health care in many parts of the world: they are showstoppers. The responsibility for addressing this massive global health issue does not ultimately lie with the global health community, but rather with the national and international organizations responsible for ensuring people’s security.1 The responsibilities of the health care community, however, must include fierce advocacy for the maintenance of this security.

Four-Year Efficacy of RTS,S/AS01E and Its Interaction with Malaria Exposure

New England Journal of Medicine
March 21, 2013  Vol. 368 No. 12
http://www.nejm.org/toc/nejm/medical-journal

Original Article
Four-Year Efficacy of RTS,S/AS01E and Its Interaction with Malaria Exposure
Ally Olotu, M.B., Ch.B., Gregory Fegan, Ph.D., Juliana Wambua, B.Sc., George Nyangweso, B.Sc., Ken O. Awuondo, H.N.D., Amanda Leach, M.R.C.P.C.H., Marc Lievens, M.Sc., Didier Leboulleux, M.D., Patricia Njuguna, M.B., Ch.B., Norbert Peshu, M.B., Ch.B., Kevin Marsh, F.R.C.P., and Philip Bejon, Ph.D.
N Engl J Med 2013; 368:1111-1120March 21, 2013DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1207564
http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1207564

Background
The candidate malaria vaccine RTS,S/AS01E has entered phase 3 trials, but data on long-term outcomes are limited.
Full Text of Background…

Methods
For 4 years, we followed children who had been randomly assigned, at 5 to 17 months of age, to receive three doses of RTS,S/AS01E vaccine (223 children) or rabies vaccine (224 controls). The end point was clinical malaria (temperature of ≥37.5°C and Plasmodium falciparum parasitemia density of >2500 parasites per cubic millimeter). Each child’s exposure to malaria was estimated with the use of the distance-weighted local prevalence of malaria.
Full Text of Methods…

Results
Over a period of 4 years, 118 of 223 children who received the RTS,S/AS01E vaccine and 138 of 224 of the controls had at least 1 episode of clinical malaria. Vaccine efficacies in the intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses were 29.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.3 to 45.3; P=0.005) and 32.1% (95% CI, 11.6 to 47.8; P=0.004), respectively, calculated by Cox regression. Multiple episodes were common, with 551 and 618 malarial episodes in the RTS,S/AS01E and control groups, respectively; vaccine efficacies in the intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses were 16.8% (95% CI, −8.6 to 36.3; P=0.18) and 24.3% (95% CI, 1.9 to 41.6; P=0.04), respectively, calculated by the Andersen–Gill extension of the Cox model. For every 100 vaccinated children, 65 cases of clinical malaria were averted. Vaccine efficacy declined over time (P=0.004) and with increasing exposure to malaria (P=0.001) in the per-protocol analysis. Vaccine efficacy was 43.6% (95% CI, 15.5 to 62.3) in the first year but was −0.4% (95% CI, −32.1 to 45.3) in the fourth year. Among children with a malaria-exposure index that was average or lower than average, the vaccine efficacy was 45.1% (95% CI, 11.3 to 66.0), but among children with a malaria-exposure index that was higher than average it was 15.9% (95% CI, −11.0 to 36.4).
Full Text of Results…

Conclusions
The efficacy of RTS,S/AS01E vaccine over the 4-year period was 16.8%. Efficacy declined over time and with increasing malaria exposure.

(Funded by the PATH Malaria Vaccine Initiative and Wellcome Trust; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00872963.)

Reasons for Not Vaccinating Adolescents: National Immunization Survey of Teens, 2008–2010

Pediatrics
http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/current.shtml

Published online March 18, 2013
Reasons for Not Vaccinating Adolescents: National Immunization Survey of Teens, 2008–2010
Paul M. Darden, MDa,c, David M. Thompson, PhDb, James R. Roberts, MD, MPHc, Jessica J. Hale, MSa, Charlene Pope, PhD, MPH, RNd,e, Monique Naifeh, MD, MPHa, and Robert M. Jacobson, MDf
(doi: 10.1542/peds.2012-2384)
http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/early/2013/03/12/peds.2012-2384.abstract

Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To determine the reasons adolescents are not vaccinated for specific vaccines and how these reasons have changed over time.

METHODS: We analyzed the 2008–2010 National Immunization Survey of Teens examining reasons parents do not have their teens immunized. Parents whose teens were not up to date (Not-UTD) for Tdap/Td and MCV4 were asked the main reason they were not vaccinated. Parents of female teens Not-UTD for human papillomavirus vaccine (HPV) were asked their intent to give HPV, and those unlikely to get HPV were asked the main reason why not.

RESULTS: The most frequent reasons for not vaccinating were the same for Tdap/Td and MCV4, including “Not recommended” and “Not needed or not necessary.” For HPV, the most frequent reasons included those for the other vaccines as well as 4 others, including “Not sexually active” and “Safety concerns/Side effects.” “Safety concerns/Side effects” increased from 4.5% in 2008 to 7.7% in 2009 to 16.4% in 2010 and, in 2010, approaching the most common reason “Not Needed or Not Necessary” at 17.4% (95% CI: 15.7–19.1). Although parents report that health care professionals increasingly recommend all vaccines, including HPV, the intent to not vaccinate for HPV increased from 39.8% in 2008 to 43.9% in 2010 (OR for trend 1.08, 95% CI: 1.04–1.13).

CONCLUSIONS: Despite doctors increasingly recommending adolescent vaccines, parents increasingly intend not to vaccinate female teens with HPV. The concern about safety of HPV grew with each year. Addressing specific and growing parental concerns about HPV will require different considerations than those for the other vaccines.

Safety Monitoring in Clinical Trials

Pharmaceutics
Volume 5, Issue 1 (March 2013)
http://www.mdpi.com/1999-4923/5/1

Article
Safety Monitoring in Clinical Trials
Bin Yao, Li Zhu, Qi Jiang and H. Amy Xia
Pharmaceutics 2013, 5(1), 94-106; doi:10.3390/pharmaceutics5010094

Abstract:
Monitoring patient safety during clinical trials is a critical component throughout the drug development life-cycle. Pharmaceutical sponsors must work proactively and collaboratively with all stakeholders to ensure a systematic approach to safety monitoring. The regulatory landscape has evolved with increased requirements for risk management plans, risk evaluation and minimization strategies. As the industry transitions from passive to active safety surveillance activities, there will be greater demand for more comprehensive and innovative approaches that apply quantitative methods to accumulating data from all sources, ranging from the discovery and preclinical through clinical and post-approval stages. Statistical methods, especially those based on the Bayesian framework, are important tools to help provide objectivity and rigor to the safety monitoring process.

Risk in Vaccine Research and Development Quantified

PLoS One
[Accessed 23 March 2013]
http://www.plosone.org/

Risk in Vaccine Research and Development Quantified
Esther S. Pronker, Tamar C. Weenen, Harry Commandeur, Eric H. J. H. M. Claassen, Albertus D. M. E. Osterhaus
Research Article | published 20 Mar 2013 | PLOS ONE 10.1371/journal.pone.0057755

Abstract
To date, vaccination is the most cost-effective strategy to combat infectious diseases. Recently, a productivity gap affects the pharmaceutical industry. The productivity gap describes the situation whereby the invested resources within an industry do not match the expected product turn-over. While risk profiles (combining research and development timelines and transition rates) have been published for new chemical entities (NCE), little is documented on vaccine development. The objective is to calculate risk profiles for vaccines targeting human infectious diseases. A database was actively compiled to include all vaccine projects in development from 1998 to 2009 in the pre-clinical development phase, clinical trials phase I, II and III up to Market Registration. The average vaccine, taken from the preclinical phase, requires a development timeline of 10.71 years and has a market entry probability of 6%. Stratification by disease area reveals pandemic influenza vaccine targets as lucrative. Furthermore, vaccines targeting acute infectious diseases and prophylactic vaccines have shown to have a lower risk profile when compared to vaccines targeting chronic infections and therapeutic applications. In conclusion; these statistics apply to vaccines targeting human infectious diseases. Vaccines targeting cancer, allergy and autoimmune diseases require further analysis. Additionally, this paper does not address orphan vaccines targeting unmet medical needs, whether projects are in-licensed or self-originated and firm size and experience. Therefore, it remains to be investigated how these – and other – variables influence the vaccine risk profile. Although we find huge differences between the risk profiles for vaccine and NCE; vaccines outperform NCE when it comes to development timelines.

Strengthening the Expanded Programme on Immunization in Africa: Looking beyond 2015

PLoS Medicine
(Accessed 23 March 2013)
http://www.plosmedicine.org/

Policy Forum
Strengthening the Expanded Programme on Immunization in Africa: Looking beyond 2015
Shingai Machingaidze, Charles S. Wiysonge, Gregory D. Hussey

Summary Points
– There have been significant improvements in the performance of the Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI) in Africa since its inception in 1974. However, there exist wide inter- and intra-country differences.

– Successes such as the introduction of hepatitis B (HepB), Haemophilus influenzae type B (Hib), and meningococcal group A vaccines across the continent are milestones indicating growth and development in the right direction. Conversely polio and measles outbreaks, as well as high vaccine drop-out rates across the continent, indicate failures within the EPI system that require evidence-informed corrective interventions.

– With the 2015 deadline for the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) approaching, it is necessary for Africa to take stock, critically assess its position, take ownership of the regional and country-specific problems, and develop precise strategies to overcome the challenges identified.

– There is need for increased immunisation systems strengthening, as many are plagued by weak infrastructure and shortage of skilled human resources. More affordable and adapted vaccines need to be made available.

– Increased political and financial commitments from African governments are key factors for both maintaining current achievements and making additional progress for EPI in Africa.

Will Dengue Vaccines Be Used in the Public Sector and if so, How?

PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
February 2013
http://www.plosntds.org/article/browseIssue.action

Research Article
Will Dengue Vaccines Be Used in the Public Sector and if so, How? Findings from an 8-country Survey of Policymakers and Opinion Leaders
Don L. Douglas, Denise A. DeRoeck, Richard T. Mahoney, Ole Wichmann
http://www.plosntds.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pntd.0002127

Abstract
Background
A face-to-face survey of 158 policymakers and other influential professionals was conducted in eight dengue-endemic countries in Asia (India, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Vietnam) and Latin America (Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, Nicaragua) to provide an indication of the potential demand for dengue vaccination in endemic countries, and to anticipate their research and other requirements in order to make decisions about the introduction of dengue vaccines. The study took place in anticipation of the licensure of the first dengue vaccine in the next several years.

Methods/Principal Findings
Semi-structured interviews were conducted on an individual or small group basis with government health officials, research scientists, medical association officers, vaccine producers, local-level health authorities, and others considered to have a role in influencing decisions about dengue control and vaccines. Most informants across countries considered dengue a priority disease and expressed interest in the public sector use of dengue vaccines, with a major driver being the political pressure from the public and the medical community to control the disease. There was interest in a vaccine that protects children as young as possible and that can fit into existing childhood immunization schedules. Dengue vaccination in most countries surveyed will likely be targeted to high-risk areas and begin with routine immunization of infants and young children, followed by catch-up campaigns for older age groups, as funding permits. Key data requirements for decision-making were additional local dengue surveillance data, vaccine cost-effectiveness estimates, post-marketing safety surveillance data and, in some countries vaccine safety and immunogenicity data in the local population.

Conclusions/Significance
The lookout for the public sector use of dengue vaccines in the eight countries appears quite favorable. Major determinants of whether and when countries will introduce dengue vaccines include whether WHO recommends the vaccines, their price, the availability of external financing for lower income countries, and whether they can be incorporated into countries’ routine immunization schedules.

Author Summary
Information gleaned from surveys of country-level policymakers and other opinion leaders can assist in planning the development, production and introduction of new or upcoming vaccines into public sector immunization programs. In the case of dengue vaccines, prevailing views among these leaders about the importance of the disease, their expressed level of interest in the government’s use of the vaccine, and preferred strategies for vaccine introduction (e.g., geographically-targeted vs. nation-wide vaccination, specific age groups to target) can help to identify “early adopter” countries and indicate the level of demand for the vaccine. This information can be critical to current producers of the vaccine in planning their production capacity and to potential future producers in deciding whether to pursue development of the vaccine. This information also helps donors and international technical agencies, such as WHO and UNICEF, in setting their priorities and determining their level of technical and financial support to countries for the introduction of dengue vaccines. In addition, these surveys can provide crucial information to national governments and the above stakeholders about potential barriers to introducing dengue vaccines into national immunization programs, and what additional studies and data countries will require in order to make decisions about use of the vaccines in the public sector.