BMC Medicine
http://www.biomedcentral.com/bmcmed/content
(Accessed 31 Aug 2019)

Research article
A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves
Simple phenomenological growth models can be useful for estimating transmission parameters and forecasting epidemic trajectories. However, most existing phenomenological growth models only support single-peak …
Authors: Gerardo Chowell, Amna Tariq and James M. Hyman
Citation: BMC Medicine 2019 17:164
Published on: 22 August 2019