Projection of costs of polio eradication compared to permanent control

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The Journal of Infectious Diseases
Published: 30 September 2019
Accepted manuscript
Projection of costs of polio eradication compared to permanent control
Marita Zimmermann, MPH, PhD, Brittany Hagedorn, MBA, Hil Lyons, MS, PhD
Abstract
Despite increased efforts and spending toward polio eradication, it has yet to be eliminated worldwide. We aimed to project economic costs of polio eradication compared to permanent control. We used historical Financial Resource Requirements from the Global Polio Eradication Initiative, as well as vaccination and population data from publicly available sources to project costs for routine immunization, immunization campaigns, surveillance and lab, technical assistance, social mobilization, treatment, and overhead. We found that cumulative spending for a control strategy would exceed that for an eradication strategy in 2032 (range 2027-2051). Eradication of polio would likely be cost-saving compared to permanent control.